Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index rating and consistent results in recent cycles, which drives the current trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. The seat features an incumbent Democrat facing primary challengers ahead of the August 4 contest, yet the district's demographics and voting history have produced large margins for Democratic candidates in prior elections. Republican opposition remains minimal at this stage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or late developments affecting turnout, though structural factors continue to limit realistic paths for a Republican win.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,663 Vol.
$36,663 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
97%
共和党
1%
$36,663 Vol.
$36,663 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$22,461 Vol.
97%
共和党
$14,201 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index rating and consistent results in recent cycles, which drives the current trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. The seat features an incumbent Democrat facing primary challengers ahead of the August 4 contest, yet the district's demographics and voting history have produced large margins for Democratic candidates in prior elections. Republican opposition remains minimal at this stage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or late developments affecting turnout, though structural factors continue to limit realistic paths for a Republican win.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$36,663終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index rating and consistent results in recent cycles, which drives the current trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. The seat features an incumbent Democrat facing primary challengers ahead of the August 4 contest, yet the district's demographics and voting history have produced large margins for Democratic candidates in prior elections. Republican opposition remains minimal at this stage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or late developments affecting turnout, though structural factors continue to limit realistic paths for a Republican win.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,663終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index rating and consistent results in recent cycles, which drives the current trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. The seat features an incumbent Democrat facing primary challengers ahead of the August 4 contest, yet the district's demographics and voting history have produced large margins for Democratic candidates in prior elections. Republican opposition remains minimal at this stage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or late developments affecting turnout, though structural factors continue to limit realistic paths for a Republican win.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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