Incumbent Rep. Sylvia Garcia's decisive 58% victory in the March 3 Democratic primary for Texas' 29th Congressional District, despite Republican-led redistricting that redrew much of the Houston-area seat, has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent historical margins above 65% for Garcia, and ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underpin this positioning, with no public polls showing competitiveness against Republican nominee Martha Fierro, who advanced unopposed. Scenarios like a major scandal, Garcia health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave could challenge this, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,292 Vol.
94%
共和党
$382 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Sylvia Garcia's decisive 58% victory in the March 3 Democratic primary for Texas' 29th Congressional District, despite Republican-led redistricting that redrew much of the Houston-area seat, has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent historical margins above 65% for Garcia, and ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underpin this positioning, with no public polls showing competitiveness against Republican nominee Martha Fierro, who advanced unopposed. Scenarios like a major scandal, Garcia health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave could challenge this, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$3,674終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Sylvia Garcia's decisive 58% victory in the March 3 Democratic primary for Texas' 29th Congressional District, despite Republican-led redistricting that redrew much of the Houston-area seat, has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent historical margins above 65% for Garcia, and ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underpin this positioning, with no public polls showing competitiveness against Republican nominee Martha Fierro, who advanced unopposed. Scenarios like a major scandal, Garcia health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave could challenge this, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,674終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Sylvia Garcia's decisive 58% victory in the March 3 Democratic primary for Texas' 29th Congressional District, despite Republican-led redistricting that redrew much of the Houston-area seat, has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent historical margins above 65% for Garcia, and ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underpin this positioning, with no public polls showing competitiveness against Republican nominee Martha Fierro, who advanced unopposed. Scenarios like a major scandal, Garcia health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave could challenge this, though structural advantages favor Democrats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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