Incumbent Rep. Sylvia Garcia secured the Democratic nomination in Texas' 29th Congressional District's March 3 primary with 58% of the vote, defeating challengers Jarvis Johnson and Robert Slater amid post-redistricting boundaries that retained the seat's heavy Democratic lean in Houston's Hispanic-majority areas. Republican nominee Martha Fierro advanced unopposed, but trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5% reflecting the district's historical D+28 partisan voting index, Garcia's incumbency advantage since 2019, and lack of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. Potential shifts could arise from late scandals, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen candidate health issues ahead of the November 3 general election, though structural barriers favor the frontrunner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$0 Vol.
94%
共和党
$256 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Sylvia Garcia secured the Democratic nomination in Texas' 29th Congressional District's March 3 primary with 58% of the vote, defeating challengers Jarvis Johnson and Robert Slater amid post-redistricting boundaries that retained the seat's heavy Democratic lean in Houston's Hispanic-majority areas. Republican nominee Martha Fierro advanced unopposed, but trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5% reflecting the district's historical D+28 partisan voting index, Garcia's incumbency advantage since 2019, and lack of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. Potential shifts could arise from late scandals, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen candidate health issues ahead of the November 3 general election, though structural barriers favor the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$256終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Sylvia Garcia secured the Democratic nomination in Texas' 29th Congressional District's March 3 primary with 58% of the vote, defeating challengers Jarvis Johnson and Robert Slater amid post-redistricting boundaries that retained the seat's heavy Democratic lean in Houston's Hispanic-majority areas. Republican nominee Martha Fierro advanced unopposed, but trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5% reflecting the district's historical D+28 partisan voting index, Garcia's incumbency advantage since 2019, and lack of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. Potential shifts could arise from late scandals, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen candidate health issues ahead of the November 3 general election, though structural barriers favor the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$256終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Sylvia Garcia secured the Democratic nomination in Texas' 29th Congressional District's March 3 primary with 58% of the vote, defeating challengers Jarvis Johnson and Robert Slater amid post-redistricting boundaries that retained the seat's heavy Democratic lean in Houston's Hispanic-majority areas. Republican nominee Martha Fierro advanced unopposed, but trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5% reflecting the district's historical D+28 partisan voting index, Garcia's incumbency advantage since 2019, and lack of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. Potential shifts could arise from late scandals, national midterm wave dynamics, or unforeseen candidate health issues ahead of the November 3 general election, though structural barriers favor the frontrunner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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