Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Jeff Wilson in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, reflecting a D+5 partisan voter index. Her consistent overperformance in prior cycles, including a double-digit victory in 2024, combined with substantial fundraising leads and the structural advantages of incumbency, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. The race remains on track for a November resolution, with limited scheduled events capable of shifting the balance absent a major national political realignment or unforeseen development affecting either candidate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$4,513 Vol.
93%
共和党
$4,052 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Jeff Wilson in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, reflecting a D+5 partisan voter index. Her consistent overperformance in prior cycles, including a double-digit victory in 2024, combined with substantial fundraising leads and the structural advantages of incumbency, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. The race remains on track for a November resolution, with limited scheduled events capable of shifting the balance absent a major national political realignment or unforeseen development affecting either candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$8,565終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Jeff Wilson in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, reflecting a D+5 partisan voter index. Her consistent overperformance in prior cycles, including a double-digit victory in 2024, combined with substantial fundraising leads and the structural advantages of incumbency, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. The race remains on track for a November resolution, with limited scheduled events capable of shifting the balance absent a major national political realignment or unforeseen development affecting either candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,565終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Jeff Wilson in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, reflecting a D+5 partisan voter index. Her consistent overperformance in prior cycles, including a double-digit victory in 2024, combined with substantial fundraising leads and the structural advantages of incumbency, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. The race remains on track for a November resolution, with limited scheduled events capable of shifting the balance absent a major national political realignment or unforeseen development affecting either candidate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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