Incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's commanding win in the March 3 Republican primary—defeating challenger Chasity Wedgeworth handily—has cemented trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP victory in the deeply Republican Texas 13th Congressional District, a Panhandle stronghold with a strong history of Trump support exceeding 80% in recent presidential races. Jackson, seeking re-election after running uncontested in 2024 with 100% of the vote, benefits from the district's partisan lean and incumbency edge, while Democratic nominee Mark Nair, a local entrepreneur who advanced unopposed, confronts steep historical margins. The November 3 general election looms, but odds imply low upset risk barring major scandals, legal challenges, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$1,301 Vol.
92%
民主党
$7,075 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's commanding win in the March 3 Republican primary—defeating challenger Chasity Wedgeworth handily—has cemented trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP victory in the deeply Republican Texas 13th Congressional District, a Panhandle stronghold with a strong history of Trump support exceeding 80% in recent presidential races. Jackson, seeking re-election after running uncontested in 2024 with 100% of the vote, benefits from the district's partisan lean and incumbency edge, while Democratic nominee Mark Nair, a local entrepreneur who advanced unopposed, confronts steep historical margins. The November 3 general election looms, but odds imply low upset risk barring major scandals, legal challenges, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$8,376終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's commanding win in the March 3 Republican primary—defeating challenger Chasity Wedgeworth handily—has cemented trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP victory in the deeply Republican Texas 13th Congressional District, a Panhandle stronghold with a strong history of Trump support exceeding 80% in recent presidential races. Jackson, seeking re-election after running uncontested in 2024 with 100% of the vote, benefits from the district's partisan lean and incumbency edge, while Democratic nominee Mark Nair, a local entrepreneur who advanced unopposed, confronts steep historical margins. The November 3 general election looms, but odds imply low upset risk barring major scandals, legal challenges, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,376終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's commanding win in the March 3 Republican primary—defeating challenger Chasity Wedgeworth handily—has cemented trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP victory in the deeply Republican Texas 13th Congressional District, a Panhandle stronghold with a strong history of Trump support exceeding 80% in recent presidential races. Jackson, seeking re-election after running uncontested in 2024 with 100% of the vote, benefits from the district's partisan lean and incumbency edge, while Democratic nominee Mark Nair, a local entrepreneur who advanced unopposed, confronts steep historical margins. The November 3 general election looms, but odds imply low upset risk barring major scandals, legal challenges, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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