Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford benefits from Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, which have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5 percent. The absence of a contested Republican primary after filing closed has allowed Crawford to focus resources on the general election against Democratic challenger Terri Yarbrough Green. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district’s rural, conservative voter base and limited crossover appeal. A national Democratic wave, major unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in the few urban pockets could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable without extraordinary circumstances before November 3, 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,687 Vol.
$18,687 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
6%
$18,687 Vol.
$18,687 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,115 Vol.
93%
民主党
$7,571 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford benefits from Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, which have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5 percent. The absence of a contested Republican primary after filing closed has allowed Crawford to focus resources on the general election against Democratic challenger Terri Yarbrough Green. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district’s rural, conservative voter base and limited crossover appeal. A national Democratic wave, major unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in the few urban pockets could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable without extraordinary circumstances before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$18,687終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford benefits from Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, which have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5 percent. The absence of a contested Republican primary after filing closed has allowed Crawford to focus resources on the general election against Democratic challenger Terri Yarbrough Green. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district’s rural, conservative voter base and limited crossover appeal. A national Democratic wave, major unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in the few urban pockets could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable without extraordinary circumstances before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,687終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford benefits from Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, which have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 92.5 percent. The absence of a contested Republican primary after filing closed has allowed Crawford to focus resources on the general election against Democratic challenger Terri Yarbrough Green. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district’s rural, conservative voter base and limited crossover appeal. A national Democratic wave, major unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in the few urban pockets could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable without extraordinary circumstances before November 3, 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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