Florida's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Kat Cammack positioned as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 general election. The district's strong partisan lean—reflected in recent presidential and Senate voting patterns favoring Republicans by double-digit margins—underpins trader consensus around an 88 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Cammack's established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from party leadership further reinforce her advantage heading into the August 18 primaries. Democratic primary contenders have filed but lack comparable resources or visibility at this stage, limiting any near-term shift in probabilities. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, the race has seen no major polling movements or candidate withdrawals that would meaningfully alter the current outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,439 Vol.
$11,439 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
89%
民主党
11%
$11,439 Vol.
$11,439 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,096 Vol.
89%
民主党
$4,344 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Kat Cammack positioned as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 general election. The district's strong partisan lean—reflected in recent presidential and Senate voting patterns favoring Republicans by double-digit margins—underpins trader consensus around an 88 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Cammack's established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from party leadership further reinforce her advantage heading into the August 18 primaries. Democratic primary contenders have filed but lack comparable resources or visibility at this stage, limiting any near-term shift in probabilities. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, the race has seen no major polling movements or candidate withdrawals that would meaningfully alter the current outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$11,439終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Kat Cammack positioned as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 general election. The district's strong partisan lean—reflected in recent presidential and Senate voting patterns favoring Republicans by double-digit margins—underpins trader consensus around an 88 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Cammack's established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from party leadership further reinforce her advantage heading into the August 18 primaries. Democratic primary contenders have filed but lack comparable resources or visibility at this stage, limiting any near-term shift in probabilities. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, the race has seen no major polling movements or candidate withdrawals that would meaningfully alter the current outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,439終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Kat Cammack positioned as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 general election. The district's strong partisan lean—reflected in recent presidential and Senate voting patterns favoring Republicans by double-digit margins—underpins trader consensus around an 88 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Cammack's established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from party leadership further reinforce her advantage heading into the August 18 primaries. Democratic primary contenders have filed but lack comparable resources or visibility at this stage, limiting any near-term shift in probabilities. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, the race has seen no major polling movements or candidate withdrawals that would meaningfully alter the current outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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