Incumbent Republican Tony Wied's strong 2024 victory with 57% in the Solid Republican-leaning WI-08 district underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 80%, bolstered by his Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising advantage with over $350,000 cash on hand. The Democratic primary features a fragmented field including former Green Bay school board member Rick Crosson, financial advisor Mark Scheffler, musician Katrina deVille, and others, all with minimal funds raised so far, lacking a high-profile challenger. No recent polls exist, but forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid R, reflecting the district's partisan lean and incumbency edge ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Late-breaking Democratic recruitment or national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
80%
民主党
20%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$0 Vol.
80%
民主党
$815 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tony Wied's strong 2024 victory with 57% in the Solid Republican-leaning WI-08 district underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 80%, bolstered by his Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising advantage with over $350,000 cash on hand. The Democratic primary features a fragmented field including former Green Bay school board member Rick Crosson, financial advisor Mark Scheffler, musician Katrina deVille, and others, all with minimal funds raised so far, lacking a high-profile challenger. No recent polls exist, but forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid R, reflecting the district's partisan lean and incumbency edge ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Late-breaking Democratic recruitment or national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$815終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tony Wied's strong 2024 victory with 57% in the Solid Republican-leaning WI-08 district underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 80%, bolstered by his Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising advantage with over $350,000 cash on hand. The Democratic primary features a fragmented field including former Green Bay school board member Rick Crosson, financial advisor Mark Scheffler, musician Katrina deVille, and others, all with minimal funds raised so far, lacking a high-profile challenger. No recent polls exist, but forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid R, reflecting the district's partisan lean and incumbency edge ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Late-breaking Democratic recruitment or national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$815終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tony Wied's strong 2024 victory with 57% in the Solid Republican-leaning WI-08 district underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 80%, bolstered by his Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising advantage with over $350,000 cash on hand. The Democratic primary features a fragmented field including former Green Bay school board member Rick Crosson, financial advisor Mark Scheffler, musician Katrina deVille, and others, all with minimal funds raised so far, lacking a high-profile challenger. No recent polls exist, but forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid R, reflecting the district's partisan lean and incumbency edge ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Late-breaking Democratic recruitment or national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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