The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement opens the seat for a June 23 primary among progressive candidates, but the general election on November 3 remains noncompetitive given the Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods' voting patterns and historical margins exceeding 70 percent for Democrats. Republican nominees face structural barriers with limited path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Recent primary polling and endorsements have not altered the broader outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,235 Vol.
$21,235 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$21,235 Vol.
$21,235 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,501 Vol.
94%
共和党
$9,734 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement opens the seat for a June 23 primary among progressive candidates, but the general election on November 3 remains noncompetitive given the Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods' voting patterns and historical margins exceeding 70 percent for Democrats. Republican nominees face structural barriers with limited path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Recent primary polling and endorsements have not altered the broader outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$21,235終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement opens the seat for a June 23 primary among progressive candidates, but the general election on November 3 remains noncompetitive given the Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods' voting patterns and historical margins exceeding 70 percent for Democrats. Republican nominees face structural barriers with limited path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Recent primary polling and endorsements have not altered the broader outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,235終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement opens the seat for a June 23 primary among progressive candidates, but the general election on November 3 remains noncompetitive given the Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods' voting patterns and historical margins exceeding 70 percent for Democrats. Republican nominees face structural barriers with limited path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Recent primary polling and endorsements have not altered the broader outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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