The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement has opened an open-seat race rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, with a June 23 primary featuring several progressive candidates and a low-profile Republican primary. Historical voting patterns, including the district’s support for Democratic candidates in presidential and mayoral contests, reinforce the wide spread. A national political shift or unusually strong Republican performance would be required to alter the current implied probability ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,235 Vol.
$21,235 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$21,235 Vol.
$21,235 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,501 Vol.
94%
共和党
$9,734 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement has opened an open-seat race rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, with a June 23 primary featuring several progressive candidates and a low-profile Republican primary. Historical voting patterns, including the district’s support for Democratic candidates in presidential and mayoral contests, reinforce the wide spread. A national political shift or unusually strong Republican performance would be required to alter the current implied probability ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$21,235終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement has opened an open-seat race rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, with a June 23 primary featuring several progressive candidates and a low-profile Republican primary. Historical voting patterns, including the district’s support for Democratic candidates in presidential and mayoral contests, reinforce the wide spread. A national political shift or unusually strong Republican performance would be required to alter the current implied probability ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,235終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement has opened an open-seat race rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, with a June 23 primary featuring several progressive candidates and a low-profile Republican primary. Historical voting patterns, including the district’s support for Democratic candidates in presidential and mayoral contests, reinforce the wide spread. A national political shift or unusually strong Republican performance would be required to alter the current implied probability ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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