New York’s 7th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent performance more than 25 points above the national Democratic average in recent presidential cycles. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement created an open seat ahead of the 2026 midterms, yet the district’s urban, progressive electorate and strong Democratic primary field—including Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, Assembly Member Claire Valdez, and City Council Member Julie Won—ensure the eventual nominee enters November with robust institutional support and fundraising. The Republican primary features limited competition, and forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. This structural advantage underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, though a national Republican wave or unforeseen primary outcome could narrow the margin in the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,285 Vol.
$22,285 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$22,285 Vol.
$22,285 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,501 Vol.
94%
共和党
$10,784 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent performance more than 25 points above the national Democratic average in recent presidential cycles. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement created an open seat ahead of the 2026 midterms, yet the district’s urban, progressive electorate and strong Democratic primary field—including Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, Assembly Member Claire Valdez, and City Council Member Julie Won—ensure the eventual nominee enters November with robust institutional support and fundraising. The Republican primary features limited competition, and forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. This structural advantage underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, though a national Republican wave or unforeseen primary outcome could narrow the margin in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$22,285終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent performance more than 25 points above the national Democratic average in recent presidential cycles. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement created an open seat ahead of the 2026 midterms, yet the district’s urban, progressive electorate and strong Democratic primary field—including Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, Assembly Member Claire Valdez, and City Council Member Julie Won—ensure the eventual nominee enters November with robust institutional support and fundraising. The Republican primary features limited competition, and forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. This structural advantage underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, though a national Republican wave or unforeseen primary outcome could narrow the margin in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,285終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 7th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent performance more than 25 points above the national Democratic average in recent presidential cycles. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement created an open seat ahead of the 2026 midterms, yet the district’s urban, progressive electorate and strong Democratic primary field—including Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, Assembly Member Claire Valdez, and City Council Member Julie Won—ensure the eventual nominee enters November with robust institutional support and fundraising. The Republican primary features limited competition, and forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. This structural advantage underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee, though a national Republican wave or unforeseen primary outcome could narrow the margin in the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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