The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jason Crow, first elected in 2018 and re-elected by double-digit margins in subsequent cycles, faces a Republican primary field led by Mel Tewahade with limited fundraising visibility or national support as of late May 2026. Primary filings close in March and the June 30 nominating contests precede the November general, but no significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or redistricting changes have altered the landscape. A national Republican surge, unexpected Democratic primary upset, or late scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable seats suggest limited volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,439 Vol.
$24,439 Vol.
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$24,439 Vol.
$24,439 Vol.
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jason Crow, first elected in 2018 and re-elected by double-digit margins in subsequent cycles, faces a Republican primary field led by Mel Tewahade with limited fundraising visibility or national support as of late May 2026. Primary filings close in March and the June 30 nominating contests precede the November general, but no significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or redistricting changes have altered the landscape. A national Republican surge, unexpected Democratic primary upset, or late scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable seats suggest limited volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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