Incumbent Rep. Jason Crow's commanding position in Colorado's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+11 Cook PVI, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Crow's consistent victories—59% in 2024, 61% in 2022—reflect the suburban Denver-Aurora district's left-leaning demographics and his incumbency advantage, bolstered by $2.3 million cash-on-hand as of December 2025 versus challengers' zero fundraising. The June 30 primaries feature token opposition, with weak Republican contenders like Mel Tewahade lacking resources. Upsets remain possible via Crow's rumored gubernatorial pivot, personal scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers loom large.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$14,526 Vol.
$14,526 Vol.
民主党
92%
共和党
6%
$14,526 Vol.
$14,526 Vol.
民主党
92%
共和党
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jason Crow's commanding position in Colorado's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+11 Cook PVI, anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Crow's consistent victories—59% in 2024, 61% in 2022—reflect the suburban Denver-Aurora district's left-leaning demographics and his incumbency advantage, bolstered by $2.3 million cash-on-hand as of December 2025 versus challengers' zero fundraising. The June 30 primaries feature token opposition, with weak Republican contenders like Mel Tewahade lacking resources. Upsets remain possible via Crow's rumored gubernatorial pivot, personal scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers loom large.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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