Incumbent Republican Brad Knott's dominant 90% win in the March 3 Republican primary, following his 2024 general election victory by 17 points, has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 83.5% in North Carolina's 13th District House race. The district's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index under the new October 2025 redistricting map, combined with 2024 presidential results showing a 12-point Republican edge, underpins ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a fragmented primary with 59%, facing fundraising challenges and an uphill path in this Raleigh exurban battleground. Absent polling shifts or scandals, the November 3 general election appears firmly tilted toward the incumbent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
84%
民主党
15%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$221 Vol.
84%
民主党
$2,115 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Knott's dominant 90% win in the March 3 Republican primary, following his 2024 general election victory by 17 points, has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 83.5% in North Carolina's 13th District House race. The district's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index under the new October 2025 redistricting map, combined with 2024 presidential results showing a 12-point Republican edge, underpins ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a fragmented primary with 59%, facing fundraising challenges and an uphill path in this Raleigh exurban battleground. Absent polling shifts or scandals, the November 3 general election appears firmly tilted toward the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$2,336終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Knott's dominant 90% win in the March 3 Republican primary, following his 2024 general election victory by 17 points, has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 83.5% in North Carolina's 13th District House race. The district's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index under the new October 2025 redistricting map, combined with 2024 presidential results showing a 12-point Republican edge, underpins ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a fragmented primary with 59%, facing fundraising challenges and an uphill path in this Raleigh exurban battleground. Absent polling shifts or scandals, the November 3 general election appears firmly tilted toward the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,336終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Knott's dominant 90% win in the March 3 Republican primary, following his 2024 general election victory by 17 points, has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 83.5% in North Carolina's 13th District House race. The district's R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index under the new October 2025 redistricting map, combined with 2024 presidential results showing a 12-point Republican edge, underpins ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a fragmented primary with 59%, facing fundraising challenges and an uphill path in this Raleigh exurban battleground. Absent polling shifts or scandals, the November 3 general election appears firmly tilted toward the incumbent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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