Republican incumbent Brad Knott secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, facing minimal opposition in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. North Carolina's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House elections under the current map. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from his primary but confronts structural barriers in a seat where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. These factors, combined with the absence of major recent controversies or shifts in voter sentiment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 83.5 percent implied probability over the Democratic nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
84%
民主党
18%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,234 Vol.
84%
民主党
$3,892 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Knott secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, facing minimal opposition in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. North Carolina's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House elections under the current map. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from his primary but confronts structural barriers in a seat where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. These factors, combined with the absence of major recent controversies or shifts in voter sentiment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 83.5 percent implied probability over the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$7,126終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Knott secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, facing minimal opposition in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. North Carolina's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House elections under the current map. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from his primary but confronts structural barriers in a seat where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. These factors, combined with the absence of major recent controversies or shifts in voter sentiment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 83.5 percent implied probability over the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,126終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Knott secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, facing minimal opposition in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. North Carolina's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House elections under the current map. Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from his primary but confronts structural barriers in a seat where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. These factors, combined with the absence of major recent controversies or shifts in voter sentiment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 83.5 percent implied probability over the Democratic nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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