The Mississippi 2nd congressional district’s long-standing Democratic lean, shaped by its demographics and voting patterns, underpins the current trader consensus favoring that party in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination with over 86 percent of the primary vote in March, defeating challengers and positioning him for an 18th term against Republican nominee Ron Eller. The district’s history of delivering comfortable Democratic margins, including Thompson’s 62 percent share in 2024, continues to shape market probabilities. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered this outlook, leaving the November ballot and any late-cycle shifts as the primary variables for traders to monitor.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,259 Vol.
$23,259 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
83%
共和党
18%
$23,259 Vol.
$23,259 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$12,322 Vol.
83%
共和党
$10,937 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Mississippi 2nd congressional district’s long-standing Democratic lean, shaped by its demographics and voting patterns, underpins the current trader consensus favoring that party in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination with over 86 percent of the primary vote in March, defeating challengers and positioning him for an 18th term against Republican nominee Ron Eller. The district’s history of delivering comfortable Democratic margins, including Thompson’s 62 percent share in 2024, continues to shape market probabilities. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered this outlook, leaving the November ballot and any late-cycle shifts as the primary variables for traders to monitor.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$23,259終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Mississippi 2nd congressional district’s long-standing Democratic lean, shaped by its demographics and voting patterns, underpins the current trader consensus favoring that party in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination with over 86 percent of the primary vote in March, defeating challengers and positioning him for an 18th term against Republican nominee Ron Eller. The district’s history of delivering comfortable Democratic margins, including Thompson’s 62 percent share in 2024, continues to shape market probabilities. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered this outlook, leaving the November ballot and any late-cycle shifts as the primary variables for traders to monitor.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,259終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Mississippi 2nd congressional district’s long-standing Democratic lean, shaped by its demographics and voting patterns, underpins the current trader consensus favoring that party in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination with over 86 percent of the primary vote in March, defeating challengers and positioning him for an 18th term against Republican nominee Ron Eller. The district’s history of delivering comfortable Democratic margins, including Thompson’s 62 percent share in 2024, continues to shape market probabilities. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered this outlook, leaving the November ballot and any late-cycle shifts as the primary variables for traders to monitor.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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