The open race in Florida's 16th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+7 partisan lean, drives trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 81%, reflecting the district's history of double-digit GOP victories—including Vern Buchanan's 59.5% to 40.5% 2024 win—and strong presidential margins favoring Republicans 57%-42%. Buchanan's January 2026 retirement announcement created an open seat attracting a crowded Republican primary field, bolstered by President Trump's recent endorsement of Sydney Gruters, signaling party momentum amid a thinner Democratic lineup led by past nominee Jan Schneider. With the filing deadline April 24 and primary August 18, no polling yet exists, but Florida's GOP dominance and weak Democratic opposition sustain the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
81%
民主党
18%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 Vol.
81%
民主党
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open race in Florida's 16th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+7 partisan lean, drives trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 81%, reflecting the district's history of double-digit GOP victories—including Vern Buchanan's 59.5% to 40.5% 2024 win—and strong presidential margins favoring Republicans 57%-42%. Buchanan's January 2026 retirement announcement created an open seat attracting a crowded Republican primary field, bolstered by President Trump's recent endorsement of Sydney Gruters, signaling party momentum amid a thinner Democratic lineup led by past nominee Jan Schneider. With the filing deadline April 24 and primary August 18, no polling yet exists, but Florida's GOP dominance and weak Democratic opposition sustain the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open race in Florida's 16th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+7 partisan lean, drives trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 81%, reflecting the district's history of double-digit GOP victories—including Vern Buchanan's 59.5% to 40.5% 2024 win—and strong presidential margins favoring Republicans 57%-42%. Buchanan's January 2026 retirement announcement created an open seat attracting a crowded Republican primary field, bolstered by President Trump's recent endorsement of Sydney Gruters, signaling party momentum amid a thinner Democratic lineup led by past nominee Jan Schneider. With the filing deadline April 24 and primary August 18, no polling yet exists, but Florida's GOP dominance and weak Democratic opposition sustain the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open race in Florida's 16th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+7 partisan lean, drives trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 81%, reflecting the district's history of double-digit GOP victories—including Vern Buchanan's 59.5% to 40.5% 2024 win—and strong presidential margins favoring Republicans 57%-42%. Buchanan's January 2026 retirement announcement created an open seat attracting a crowded Republican primary field, bolstered by President Trump's recent endorsement of Sydney Gruters, signaling party momentum amid a thinner Democratic lineup led by past nominee Jan Schneider. With the filing deadline April 24 and primary August 18, no polling yet exists, but Florida's GOP dominance and weak Democratic opposition sustain the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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