Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 78.5% in Florida's 7th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's strong Republican lean—evident in incumbent Cory Mills' 13-point 2024 win—and his incumbency advantage despite a House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations and campaign finance issues. Recent developments include Mills publicly addressing the scandals on May 14 amid calls for resignation, while GOP primary challengers like Ryan Elijah entered post-filing deadline on April 24; Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary featuring Bale Dalton and others, diluting resources. No public polls exist, but historical base rates favor incumbents in R+ districts, with DCCC targeting tempered by Mills' fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million. Primaries could clarify nominees ahead of November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,063 Vol.
$10,063 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
79%
民主党
22%
$10,063 Vol.
$10,063 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,209 Vol.
79%
民主党
$5,854 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 78.5% in Florida's 7th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's strong Republican lean—evident in incumbent Cory Mills' 13-point 2024 win—and his incumbency advantage despite a House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations and campaign finance issues. Recent developments include Mills publicly addressing the scandals on May 14 amid calls for resignation, while GOP primary challengers like Ryan Elijah entered post-filing deadline on April 24; Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary featuring Bale Dalton and others, diluting resources. No public polls exist, but historical base rates favor incumbents in R+ districts, with DCCC targeting tempered by Mills' fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million. Primaries could clarify nominees ahead of November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$10,063終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 78.5% in Florida's 7th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's strong Republican lean—evident in incumbent Cory Mills' 13-point 2024 win—and his incumbency advantage despite a House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations and campaign finance issues. Recent developments include Mills publicly addressing the scandals on May 14 amid calls for resignation, while GOP primary challengers like Ryan Elijah entered post-filing deadline on April 24; Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary featuring Bale Dalton and others, diluting resources. No public polls exist, but historical base rates favor incumbents in R+ districts, with DCCC targeting tempered by Mills' fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million. Primaries could clarify nominees ahead of November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,063終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 78.5% in Florida's 7th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's strong Republican lean—evident in incumbent Cory Mills' 13-point 2024 win—and his incumbency advantage despite a House Ethics Committee probe into sexual misconduct allegations and campaign finance issues. Recent developments include Mills publicly addressing the scandals on May 14 amid calls for resignation, while GOP primary challengers like Ryan Elijah entered post-filing deadline on April 24; Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary featuring Bale Dalton and others, diluting resources. No public polls exist, but historical base rates favor incumbents in R+ districts, with DCCC targeting tempered by Mills' fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million. Primaries could clarify nominees ahead of November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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