Incumbent Democratic Representative Eric Sorensen seeks reelection against Republican nominee Dillan Vancil in Illinois’s 17th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district, which spans north-central Illinois including areas around Rockford, the Quad Cities, Peoria, and Bloomington, has shown a modest Democratic lean in recent cycles, with Sorensen securing 54.4 percent of the vote in 2024. Sorensen advanced unopposed in the March Democratic primary, while Vancil prevailed in the Republican primary. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic outcome a strong implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and historical results in similar seats, though general election dynamics including turnout and national conditions could still influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
75%
共和党
40%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$840 Vol.
75%
共和党
$677 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Eric Sorensen seeks reelection against Republican nominee Dillan Vancil in Illinois’s 17th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district, which spans north-central Illinois including areas around Rockford, the Quad Cities, Peoria, and Bloomington, has shown a modest Democratic lean in recent cycles, with Sorensen securing 54.4 percent of the vote in 2024. Sorensen advanced unopposed in the March Democratic primary, while Vancil prevailed in the Republican primary. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic outcome a strong implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and historical results in similar seats, though general election dynamics including turnout and national conditions could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$1,517終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Eric Sorensen seeks reelection against Republican nominee Dillan Vancil in Illinois’s 17th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district, which spans north-central Illinois including areas around Rockford, the Quad Cities, Peoria, and Bloomington, has shown a modest Democratic lean in recent cycles, with Sorensen securing 54.4 percent of the vote in 2024. Sorensen advanced unopposed in the March Democratic primary, while Vancil prevailed in the Republican primary. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic outcome a strong implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and historical results in similar seats, though general election dynamics including turnout and national conditions could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,517終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Eric Sorensen seeks reelection against Republican nominee Dillan Vancil in Illinois’s 17th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district, which spans north-central Illinois including areas around Rockford, the Quad Cities, Peoria, and Bloomington, has shown a modest Democratic lean in recent cycles, with Sorensen securing 54.4 percent of the vote in 2024. Sorensen advanced unopposed in the March Democratic primary, while Vancil prevailed in the Republican primary. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic outcome a strong implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and historical results in similar seats, though general election dynamics including turnout and national conditions could still influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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