Maryland’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Rep. Andy Harris positioned as the clear frontrunner in the June Republican primary. A failed Democratic-led redistricting effort in the state legislature preserved the district’s current boundaries and partisan voting index of roughly R+8, limiting opportunities for Democratic gains on the Eastern Shore and in surrounding counties. The crowded Democratic primary features multiple challengers but has yet to produce a consensus candidate capable of mounting a serious general-election threat. These structural and procedural factors underpin trader consensus around a Republican victory while leaving room for modest Democratic improvement if primary turnout or late-cycle developments shift the race dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
59%
民主党
42%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,242 Vol.
59%
民主党
$2,930 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Rep. Andy Harris positioned as the clear frontrunner in the June Republican primary. A failed Democratic-led redistricting effort in the state legislature preserved the district’s current boundaries and partisan voting index of roughly R+8, limiting opportunities for Democratic gains on the Eastern Shore and in surrounding counties. The crowded Democratic primary features multiple challengers but has yet to produce a consensus candidate capable of mounting a serious general-election threat. These structural and procedural factors underpin trader consensus around a Republican victory while leaving room for modest Democratic improvement if primary turnout or late-cycle developments shift the race dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$8,172終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Rep. Andy Harris positioned as the clear frontrunner in the June Republican primary. A failed Democratic-led redistricting effort in the state legislature preserved the district’s current boundaries and partisan voting index of roughly R+8, limiting opportunities for Democratic gains on the Eastern Shore and in surrounding counties. The crowded Democratic primary features multiple challengers but has yet to produce a consensus candidate capable of mounting a serious general-election threat. These structural and procedural factors underpin trader consensus around a Republican victory while leaving room for modest Democratic improvement if primary turnout or late-cycle developments shift the race dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,172終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Rep. Andy Harris positioned as the clear frontrunner in the June Republican primary. A failed Democratic-led redistricting effort in the state legislature preserved the district’s current boundaries and partisan voting index of roughly R+8, limiting opportunities for Democratic gains on the Eastern Shore and in surrounding counties. The crowded Democratic primary features multiple challengers but has yet to produce a consensus candidate capable of mounting a serious general-election threat. These structural and procedural factors underpin trader consensus around a Republican victory while leaving room for modest Democratic improvement if primary turnout or late-cycle developments shift the race dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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