Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart holds a projected victory in Florida’s 26th congressional district following the November 3, 2026, election, with unofficial results showing him ahead by roughly 1,700 votes out of over 229,000 cast. Redistricting that removed Collier County and added portions of southwest Broward narrowed the seat’s prior Republican tilt, producing a closer contest than forecasters anticipated. Díaz-Balart maintained strong margins in Miami-Dade precincts to offset Democratic strength in the newly added areas, while benefiting from incumbency, established fundraising, and voter familiarity. Democratic challenger Nicole Locklin has declined to concede and requested a full count or recount over reported anomalies, though county officials indicate remaining ballots are insufficient to alter the outcome. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects the certified projection and limited remaining variables.