Incumbent Republican David Rouzer's decisive primary victory and the district's established Republican tilt shape trader consensus around an 80 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election. Rouzer defeated challenger David Buzzard with more than 80 percent of the primary vote in March, securing the nomination in a district rated solid Republican by major forecasters and holding an R+7 partisan voting index. Democratic nominee Kimberly Hardy advanced without opposition after filing deadlines, yet the seat's voting history and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment leave few openings for a competitive challenge. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 remains the key resolution trigger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,324 Vol.
$10,324 Vol.
共和党
80%
民主党
21%
$10,324 Vol.
$10,324 Vol.
共和党
80%
民主党
21%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Rouzer's decisive primary victory and the district's established Republican tilt shape trader consensus around an 80 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election. Rouzer defeated challenger David Buzzard with more than 80 percent of the primary vote in March, securing the nomination in a district rated solid Republican by major forecasters and holding an R+7 partisan voting index. Democratic nominee Kimberly Hardy advanced without opposition after filing deadlines, yet the seat's voting history and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment leave few openings for a competitive challenge. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 remains the key resolution trigger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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