Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford faces a Republican primary field on June 9 before the November 3 general election in Nevada’s 4th congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2 and was carried narrowly by Kamala Harris in 2024, producing a likely Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts. Horsford’s Democratic primary was canceled, confirming his nomination, while Republican contenders remain largely untested in a district that has not ranked among either party’s top targets. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s modest Democratic tilt and the structural edge held by the sitting member.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
88%
共和党
16%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$827 Vol.
88%
共和党
$605 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford faces a Republican primary field on June 9 before the November 3 general election in Nevada’s 4th congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2 and was carried narrowly by Kamala Harris in 2024, producing a likely Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts. Horsford’s Democratic primary was canceled, confirming his nomination, while Republican contenders remain largely untested in a district that has not ranked among either party’s top targets. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s modest Democratic tilt and the structural edge held by the sitting member.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$1,432終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford faces a Republican primary field on June 9 before the November 3 general election in Nevada’s 4th congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2 and was carried narrowly by Kamala Harris in 2024, producing a likely Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts. Horsford’s Democratic primary was canceled, confirming his nomination, while Republican contenders remain largely untested in a district that has not ranked among either party’s top targets. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s modest Democratic tilt and the structural edge held by the sitting member.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,432終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford faces a Republican primary field on June 9 before the November 3 general election in Nevada’s 4th congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2 and was carried narrowly by Kamala Harris in 2024, producing a likely Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts. Horsford’s Democratic primary was canceled, confirming his nomination, while Republican contenders remain largely untested in a district that has not ranked among either party’s top targets. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s modest Democratic tilt and the structural edge held by the sitting member.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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