Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured a strong primary victory in March 2026 and holds a seat rated Solid Democratic with a D+12 partisan voting index. Schneider has consistently won general elections by margins exceeding 59 percent in recent cycles, reflecting the district’s reliable Democratic voter base across parts of Cook, Lake, and McHenry counties. The Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, turnout, and voter registration that have limited GOP competitiveness. Trader consensus reflects these established patterns and the absence of major shifts since the primaries, though national political swings or late-cycle developments could theoretically influence the November 2026 outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,029 Vol.
$16,029 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$16,029 Vol.
$16,029 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,715 Vol.
95%
共和党
$1,313 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured a strong primary victory in March 2026 and holds a seat rated Solid Democratic with a D+12 partisan voting index. Schneider has consistently won general elections by margins exceeding 59 percent in recent cycles, reflecting the district’s reliable Democratic voter base across parts of Cook, Lake, and McHenry counties. The Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, turnout, and voter registration that have limited GOP competitiveness. Trader consensus reflects these established patterns and the absence of major shifts since the primaries, though national political swings or late-cycle developments could theoretically influence the November 2026 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$16,029終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured a strong primary victory in March 2026 and holds a seat rated Solid Democratic with a D+12 partisan voting index. Schneider has consistently won general elections by margins exceeding 59 percent in recent cycles, reflecting the district’s reliable Democratic voter base across parts of Cook, Lake, and McHenry counties. The Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, turnout, and voter registration that have limited GOP competitiveness. Trader consensus reflects these established patterns and the absence of major shifts since the primaries, though national political swings or late-cycle developments could theoretically influence the November 2026 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,029終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured a strong primary victory in March 2026 and holds a seat rated Solid Democratic with a D+12 partisan voting index. Schneider has consistently won general elections by margins exceeding 59 percent in recent cycles, reflecting the district’s reliable Democratic voter base across parts of Cook, Lake, and McHenry counties. The Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, turnout, and voter registration that have limited GOP competitiveness. Trader consensus reflects these established patterns and the absence of major shifts since the primaries, though national political swings or late-cycle developments could theoretically influence the November 2026 outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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