Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, with the incumbent Aaron Bean seeking re-election against limited Democratic opposition in the November 2026 general election. All major forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and the incumbent's 2024 margin. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with this structural advantage, as Republican primary contenders including Bean have raised substantially more than Democratic primary participants. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered the outlook ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,781 Vol.
$11,781 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
81%
民主党
19%
$11,781 Vol.
$11,781 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,745 Vol.
81%
民主党
$5,036 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, with the incumbent Aaron Bean seeking re-election against limited Democratic opposition in the November 2026 general election. All major forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and the incumbent's 2024 margin. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with this structural advantage, as Republican primary contenders including Bean have raised substantially more than Democratic primary participants. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered the outlook ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$11,781終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, with the incumbent Aaron Bean seeking re-election against limited Democratic opposition in the November 2026 general election. All major forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and the incumbent's 2024 margin. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with this structural advantage, as Republican primary contenders including Bean have raised substantially more than Democratic primary participants. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered the outlook ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,781終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, with the incumbent Aaron Bean seeking re-election against limited Democratic opposition in the November 2026 general election. All major forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and the incumbent's 2024 margin. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with this structural advantage, as Republican primary contenders including Bean have raised substantially more than Democratic primary participants. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered the outlook ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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