Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold encompassing Minneapolis with a strong Democratic performance history (D+25 Cook PVI), drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the November 2026 House election winner. Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar recently held multiple district conventions in late March 2026, bolstering her incumbency advantages amid a modest Democratic primary challenge from former prosecutor Julie T. Le ahead of the August primary. No prominent Republican contender has emerged post-primary filing, echoing Omar's decisive 2024 general election victory. While national midterm dynamics or a major scandal could theoretically narrow the gap, structural district demographics and low GOP baseline support make an upset improbable barring extraordinary developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$17,271 Vol.
$17,271 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$17,271 Vol.
$17,271 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,427 Vol.
94%
共和党
$10,845 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold encompassing Minneapolis with a strong Democratic performance history (D+25 Cook PVI), drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the November 2026 House election winner. Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar recently held multiple district conventions in late March 2026, bolstering her incumbency advantages amid a modest Democratic primary challenge from former prosecutor Julie T. Le ahead of the August primary. No prominent Republican contender has emerged post-primary filing, echoing Omar's decisive 2024 general election victory. While national midterm dynamics or a major scandal could theoretically narrow the gap, structural district demographics and low GOP baseline support make an upset improbable barring extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$17,271終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold encompassing Minneapolis with a strong Democratic performance history (D+25 Cook PVI), drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the November 2026 House election winner. Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar recently held multiple district conventions in late March 2026, bolstering her incumbency advantages amid a modest Democratic primary challenge from former prosecutor Julie T. Le ahead of the August primary. No prominent Republican contender has emerged post-primary filing, echoing Omar's decisive 2024 general election victory. While national midterm dynamics or a major scandal could theoretically narrow the gap, structural district demographics and low GOP baseline support make an upset improbable barring extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,271終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold encompassing Minneapolis with a strong Democratic performance history (D+25 Cook PVI), drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% for the November 2026 House election winner. Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar recently held multiple district conventions in late March 2026, bolstering her incumbency advantages amid a modest Democratic primary challenge from former prosecutor Julie T. Le ahead of the August primary. No prominent Republican contender has emerged post-primary filing, echoing Omar's decisive 2024 general election victory. While national midterm dynamics or a major scandal could theoretically narrow the gap, structural district demographics and low GOP baseline support make an upset improbable barring extraordinary developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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