Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar filed for re-election after declining a Senate bid, positioning her as the clear favorite ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary against challengers including Julie Le and Latonya Reeves. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and voter registration patterns in the Minneapolis-centered district. Trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected primary outcome, significant national partisan shift, or late developments involving the nominee could introduce variability before the November 2026 contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,996 Vol.
$36,996 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$36,996 Vol.
$36,996 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$15,719 Vol.
95%
共和党
$21,277 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar filed for re-election after declining a Senate bid, positioning her as the clear favorite ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary against challengers including Julie Le and Latonya Reeves. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and voter registration patterns in the Minneapolis-centered district. Trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected primary outcome, significant national partisan shift, or late developments involving the nominee could introduce variability before the November 2026 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$36,996終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar filed for re-election after declining a Senate bid, positioning her as the clear favorite ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary against challengers including Julie Le and Latonya Reeves. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and voter registration patterns in the Minneapolis-centered district. Trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected primary outcome, significant national partisan shift, or late developments involving the nominee could introduce variability before the November 2026 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,996終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar filed for re-election after declining a Senate bid, positioning her as the clear favorite ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary against challengers including Julie Le and Latonya Reeves. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and voter registration patterns in the Minneapolis-centered district. Trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory aligns with these structural factors, though an unexpected primary outcome, significant national partisan shift, or late developments involving the nominee could introduce variability before the November 2026 contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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