Incumbent Republican Neal Dunn's January announcement not seeking re-election opened Florida's 2nd Congressional District seat, drawing a crowded Republican primary field including Iraq War veteran Luke Murphy and Army veteran Anthony Stephens, alongside at least four Democrats such as recent filer Brice Barnes on April 9. Despite the open race, trader consensus implies an 84% Republican win probability, reflecting the district's strong GOP lean—rated Solid R—with no public polling showing Democratic viability amid historical dominance by Republicans in this North Florida battleground. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election loom, but entrenched partisan math favors the GOP hold barring major shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
84%
民主党
16%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$1,982 Vol.
84%
民主党
$2,526 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Neal Dunn's January announcement not seeking re-election opened Florida's 2nd Congressional District seat, drawing a crowded Republican primary field including Iraq War veteran Luke Murphy and Army veteran Anthony Stephens, alongside at least four Democrats such as recent filer Brice Barnes on April 9. Despite the open race, trader consensus implies an 84% Republican win probability, reflecting the district's strong GOP lean—rated Solid R—with no public polling showing Democratic viability amid historical dominance by Republicans in this North Florida battleground. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election loom, but entrenched partisan math favors the GOP hold barring major shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$4,508終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Neal Dunn's January announcement not seeking re-election opened Florida's 2nd Congressional District seat, drawing a crowded Republican primary field including Iraq War veteran Luke Murphy and Army veteran Anthony Stephens, alongside at least four Democrats such as recent filer Brice Barnes on April 9. Despite the open race, trader consensus implies an 84% Republican win probability, reflecting the district's strong GOP lean—rated Solid R—with no public polling showing Democratic viability amid historical dominance by Republicans in this North Florida battleground. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election loom, but entrenched partisan math favors the GOP hold barring major shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,508終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Neal Dunn's January announcement not seeking re-election opened Florida's 2nd Congressional District seat, drawing a crowded Republican primary field including Iraq War veteran Luke Murphy and Army veteran Anthony Stephens, alongside at least four Democrats such as recent filer Brice Barnes on April 9. Despite the open race, trader consensus implies an 84% Republican win probability, reflecting the district's strong GOP lean—rated Solid R—with no public polling showing Democratic viability amid historical dominance by Republicans in this North Florida battleground. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election loom, but entrenched partisan math favors the GOP hold barring major shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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