The open seat in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District, created by incumbent Republican Neal Dunn’s decision not to seek re-election, has drawn a crowded field of eight Republican and four Democratic candidates ahead of the August 18 primaries. Trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee an 83.5% implied probability reflects the district’s long-standing partisan lean, consistent Republican voter registration advantage, and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as a Solid Republican seat. Recent campaign finance reports show GOP contenders raising over $7 million, including a substantial self-loan by one frontrunner, while Democratic fundraising remains more limited. With the general election set for November 3, the current market positioning aligns with historical patterns for this North Florida district and the broader 2026 midterm environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
84%
民主党
17%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,278 Vol.
84%
民主党
$2,632 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District, created by incumbent Republican Neal Dunn’s decision not to seek re-election, has drawn a crowded field of eight Republican and four Democratic candidates ahead of the August 18 primaries. Trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee an 83.5% implied probability reflects the district’s long-standing partisan lean, consistent Republican voter registration advantage, and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as a Solid Republican seat. Recent campaign finance reports show GOP contenders raising over $7 million, including a substantial self-loan by one frontrunner, while Democratic fundraising remains more limited. With the general election set for November 3, the current market positioning aligns with historical patterns for this North Florida district and the broader 2026 midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$6,910終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District, created by incumbent Republican Neal Dunn’s decision not to seek re-election, has drawn a crowded field of eight Republican and four Democratic candidates ahead of the August 18 primaries. Trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee an 83.5% implied probability reflects the district’s long-standing partisan lean, consistent Republican voter registration advantage, and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as a Solid Republican seat. Recent campaign finance reports show GOP contenders raising over $7 million, including a substantial self-loan by one frontrunner, while Democratic fundraising remains more limited. With the general election set for November 3, the current market positioning aligns with historical patterns for this North Florida district and the broader 2026 midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,910終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District, created by incumbent Republican Neal Dunn’s decision not to seek re-election, has drawn a crowded field of eight Republican and four Democratic candidates ahead of the August 18 primaries. Trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee an 83.5% implied probability reflects the district’s long-standing partisan lean, consistent Republican voter registration advantage, and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as a Solid Republican seat. Recent campaign finance reports show GOP contenders raising over $7 million, including a substantial self-loan by one frontrunner, while Democratic fundraising remains more limited. With the general election set for November 3, the current market positioning aligns with historical patterns for this North Florida district and the broader 2026 midterm environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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