Incumbent Governor Tony Evers' decision not to seek a third term has created an open seat in this battleground state, fueling crowded primaries on August 11, 2026, with high undecided rates per recent Marquette Law School (March 11-18) and Patriot Polling (March 10-16) surveys—65% in the Democratic primary led by State Rep. Francesca Hong (14%) and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes (11%), versus Republican consolidation behind U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany (40-65%). Trader consensus prices a Democratic general election win at 76% implied probability, reflecting Democrats' success in the last two Wisconsin gubernatorial races (2018, 2022), slight edges for top Dems over Tiffany in TIPP head-to-head polls, and recent Republican legislative retirements signaling potential vulnerabilities ahead of November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$10,166 Vol.
$10,166 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
76%
Republican
18%
$10,166 Vol.
$10,166 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$10,166 Vol.
76%
Republican
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Governor Tony Evers' decision not to seek a third term has created an open seat in this battleground state, fueling crowded primaries on August 11, 2026, with high undecided rates per recent Marquette Law School (March 11-18) and Patriot Polling (March 10-16) surveys—65% in the Democratic primary led by State Rep. Francesca Hong (14%) and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes (11%), versus Republican consolidation behind U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany (40-65%). Trader consensus prices a Democratic general election win at 76% implied probability, reflecting Democrats' success in the last two Wisconsin gubernatorial races (2018, 2022), slight edges for top Dems over Tiffany in TIPP head-to-head polls, and recent Republican legislative retirements signaling potential vulnerabilities ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$10,166End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Governor Tony Evers' decision not to seek a third term has created an open seat in this battleground state, fueling crowded primaries on August 11, 2026, with high undecided rates per recent Marquette Law School (March 11-18) and Patriot Polling (March 10-16) surveys—65% in the Democratic primary led by State Rep. Francesca Hong (14%) and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes (11%), versus Republican consolidation behind U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany (40-65%). Trader consensus prices a Democratic general election win at 76% implied probability, reflecting Democrats' success in the last two Wisconsin gubernatorial races (2018, 2022), slight edges for top Dems over Tiffany in TIPP head-to-head polls, and recent Republican legislative retirements signaling potential vulnerabilities ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$10,166End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Governor Tony Evers' decision not to seek a third term has created an open seat in this battleground state, fueling crowded primaries on August 11, 2026, with high undecided rates per recent Marquette Law School (March 11-18) and Patriot Polling (March 10-16) surveys—65% in the Democratic primary led by State Rep. Francesca Hong (14%) and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes (11%), versus Republican consolidation behind U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany (40-65%). Trader consensus prices a Democratic general election win at 76% implied probability, reflecting Democrats' success in the last two Wisconsin gubernatorial races (2018, 2022), slight edges for top Dems over Tiffany in TIPP head-to-head polls, and recent Republican legislative retirements signaling potential vulnerabilities ahead of November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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