Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 59.5% for Donald Trump facing impeachment by the House before his January 20, 2029 term end, driven by Republicans' slim House majority (currently projected 220-215 following 2024 elections), which leaves room for moderate defections amid party infighting. Recent withdrawal of Matt Gaetz's attorney general nomination over ethics allegations highlighted GOP fractures, while Trump's retribution rhetoric—vowing investigations into political foes—and plans for mass Schedule F firings of civil servants have fueled Democratic calls for impeachment probes. Historical precedent of two prior impeachments adds weight, though Senate conviction remains unlikely with Republican control; upcoming confirmation hearings for controversial cabinet picks like Tulsi Gabbard for DNI could escalate tensions and sway vulnerable House Republicans.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$11,477 Vol.
$11,477 Vol.
Jan 20, 2029
$11,477 Vol.
$11,477 Vol.
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 59.5% for Donald Trump facing impeachment by the House before his January 20, 2029 term end, driven by Republicans' slim House majority (currently projected 220-215 following 2024 elections), which leaves room for moderate defections amid party infighting. Recent withdrawal of Matt Gaetz's attorney general nomination over ethics allegations highlighted GOP fractures, while Trump's retribution rhetoric—vowing investigations into political foes—and plans for mass Schedule F firings of civil servants have fueled Democratic calls for impeachment probes. Historical precedent of two prior impeachments adds weight, though Senate conviction remains unlikely with Republican control; upcoming confirmation hearings for controversial cabinet picks like Tulsi Gabbard for DNI could escalate tensions and sway vulnerable House Republicans.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$11,477End Date
Jan 20, 2029Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 59.5% for Donald Trump facing impeachment by the House before his January 20, 2029 term end, driven by Republicans' slim House majority (currently projected 220-215 following 2024 elections), which leaves room for moderate defections amid party infighting. Recent withdrawal of Matt Gaetz's attorney general nomination over ethics allegations highlighted GOP fractures, while Trump's retribution rhetoric—vowing investigations into political foes—and plans for mass Schedule F firings of civil servants have fueled Democratic calls for impeachment probes. Historical precedent of two prior impeachments adds weight, though Senate conviction remains unlikely with Republican control; upcoming confirmation hearings for controversial cabinet picks like Tulsi Gabbard for DNI could escalate tensions and sway vulnerable House Republicans.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$11,477End Date
Jan 20, 2029Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 59.5% for Donald Trump facing impeachment by the House before his January 20, 2029 term end, driven by Republicans' slim House majority (currently projected 220-215 following 2024 elections), which leaves room for moderate defections amid party infighting. Recent withdrawal of Matt Gaetz's attorney general nomination over ethics allegations highlighted GOP fractures, while Trump's retribution rhetoric—vowing investigations into political foes—and plans for mass Schedule F firings of civil servants have fueled Democratic calls for impeachment probes. Historical precedent of two prior impeachments adds weight, though Senate conviction remains unlikely with Republican control; upcoming confirmation hearings for controversial cabinet picks like Tulsi Gabbard for DNI could escalate tensions and sway vulnerable House Republicans.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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