France, the United Kingdom, and Germany have maintained a strictly defensive posture throughout the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict that erupted in late February 2026, issuing joint statements condemning Iranian missile and drone attacks—including on a UK base in Cyprus—while explicitly limiting responses to protecting their interests and Gulf allies without offensive strikes. This trader consensus at 96% "No" reflects their repeated emphasis on diplomacy, calls for restarted nuclear negotiations, and reluctance to join US operations despite hosting American forces at bases like RAF Fairford and Ramstein. Recent European pushback against escalation, including post-war planning for Strait of Hormuz security, reinforces de-escalation signals. A major Iranian strike directly targeting their troops or assets could prompt retaliation before June 30, though institutional aversion to direct involvement remains a high barrier.