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Politics·Trump

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Market icon
Politics·Trump

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

No meeting by June 30 87.7%

Other EU country 2.8%

Gulf country 2.2%

United States 2.1%

Polymarket

$4,615,645 Vol.

No meeting by June 30 87.7%

Other EU country 2.8%

Gulf country 2.2%

United States 2.1%

Polymarket

$4,615,645 Vol.

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No meeting by June 30

$766,435 Vol.

88%

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Other EU country

$912,045 Vol.

3%

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Gulf country

$250,929 Vol.

2%

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United States

$183,543 Vol.

2%

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Other

$385,704 Vol.

2%

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Turkey

$336,537 Vol.

2%

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China

$265,876 Vol.

1%

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Russia

$618,732 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$134,326 Vol.

1%

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Belarus

$246,837 Vol.

1%

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Japan

$108,230 Vol.

<1%

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South Korea

$115,795 Vol.

<1%

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Australia

$86,793 Vol.

<1%

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Finland

$71,273 Vol.

<1%

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Ukraine

$132,590 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (87.7%), reflecting the absence of any official announcements or diplomatic scheduling amid stalled Ukraine peace talks and heightened NATO tensions. Recent White House statements, including October 2025 confirmations of no immediate plans, remain the dominant signal, with no updates in early 2026 despite indirect contacts like Russian envoy Kirill Dmitriev's March visit to Florida for Trump administration talks. Ongoing frictions—Trump's April threats to exit NATO labeled "Putin's dream" by European leaders, Putin's focus on Middle East diplomacy like hosting Egypt's foreign minister on Iran—underscore barriers to a summit. Low probabilities for neutral venues like Switzerland or Gulf countries signal scant momentum for bilateral diplomacy before summer.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,615,645
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (87.7%), reflecting the absence of any official announcements or diplomatic scheduling amid stalled Ukraine peace talks and heightened NATO tensions. Recent White House statements, including October 2025 confirmations of no immediate plans, remain the dominant signal, with no updates in early 2026 despite indirect contacts like Russian envoy Kirill Dmitriev's March visit to Florida for Trump administration talks. Ongoing frictions—Trump's April threats to exit NATO labeled "Putin's dream" by European leaders, Putin's focus on Middle East diplomacy like hosting Egypt's foreign minister on Iran—underscore barriers to a summit. Low probabilities for neutral venues like Switzerland or Gulf countries signal scant momentum for bilateral diplomacy before summer.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,615,645
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Where will Trump and Putin meet next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No meeting by June 30" at 88%, followed by "Other EU country" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Where will Trump and Putin meet next?" has generated $4.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Where will Trump and Putin meet next?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Where will Trump and Putin meet next?" is "No meeting by June 30" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Other EU country" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Where will Trump and Putin meet next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.