Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30, reflecting the absence of any official announcements or confirmed diplomatic schedules amid stalled Ukraine peace talks. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated three days ago there are "no such plans at the moment" for a summit during overlapping potential visits to China, where Putin is slated for at least two trips this year—directly tempering speculation and bolstering the 73.7% no-meeting odds. China's 12.8% share stems from recent Lavrov-Xi discussions on Ukraine and BRICS dynamics, yet explicit denials limit upside. Neutral venues like Gulf countries or Turkey linger at low probabilities due to prior neutral-site precedents, such as the 2025 Alaska summit, but lack fresh catalysts amid U.S.-Russia tensions over NATO and regional conflicts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo meeting by June 30 73.6%
China 12.7%
Gulf country 1.9%
Turkey 1.7%
$4,994,072 Vol.
$4,994,072 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
No meeting by June 30
74%
China
13%
Gulf country
2%
Turkey
2%
Russia
1%
Other
1%
Other EU country
1%
United States
1%
Switzerland
1%
Belarus
1%
South Korea
<1%
Finland
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Australia
<1%
Japan
<1%
No meeting by June 30 73.6%
China 12.7%
Gulf country 1.9%
Turkey 1.7%
$4,994,072 Vol.
$4,994,072 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
No meeting by June 30
$786,234 Vol.
74%
China
$297,481 Vol.
13%
Gulf country
$265,191 Vol.
2%
Turkey
$376,119 Vol.
2%
Russia
$642,293 Vol.
1%
Other
$422,808 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$946,780 Vol.
1%
United States
$193,085 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$156,642 Vol.
1%
Belarus
$326,038 Vol.
1%
South Korea
$124,179 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$79,966 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$155,645 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$95,014 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$126,598 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30, reflecting the absence of any official announcements or confirmed diplomatic schedules amid stalled Ukraine peace talks. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated three days ago there are "no such plans at the moment" for a summit during overlapping potential visits to China, where Putin is slated for at least two trips this year—directly tempering speculation and bolstering the 73.7% no-meeting odds. China's 12.8% share stems from recent Lavrov-Xi discussions on Ukraine and BRICS dynamics, yet explicit denials limit upside. Neutral venues like Gulf countries or Turkey linger at low probabilities due to prior neutral-site precedents, such as the 2025 Alaska summit, but lack fresh catalysts amid U.S.-Russia tensions over NATO and regional conflicts.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Volume
$4,994,072End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30, reflecting the absence of any official announcements or confirmed diplomatic schedules amid stalled Ukraine peace talks. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated three days ago there are "no such plans at the moment" for a summit during overlapping potential visits to China, where Putin is slated for at least two trips this year—directly tempering speculation and bolstering the 73.7% no-meeting odds. China's 12.8% share stems from recent Lavrov-Xi discussions on Ukraine and BRICS dynamics, yet explicit denials limit upside. Neutral venues like Gulf countries or Turkey linger at low probabilities due to prior neutral-site precedents, such as the 2025 Alaska summit, but lack fresh catalysts amid U.S.-Russia tensions over NATO and regional conflicts.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,994,072End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30, reflecting the absence of any official announcements or confirmed diplomatic schedules amid stalled Ukraine peace talks. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated three days ago there are "no such plans at the moment" for a summit during overlapping potential visits to China, where Putin is slated for at least two trips this year—directly tempering speculation and bolstering the 73.7% no-meeting odds. China's 12.8% share stems from recent Lavrov-Xi discussions on Ukraine and BRICS dynamics, yet explicit denials limit upside. Neutral venues like Gulf countries or Turkey linger at low probabilities due to prior neutral-site precedents, such as the 2025 Alaska summit, but lack fresh catalysts amid U.S.-Russia tensions over NATO and regional conflicts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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