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Politics·Global Elections

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

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Politics·Global Elections

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

60-61% 100.0%

<56% <1%

56-57% <1%

57-58% <1%

Polymarket

$611,052 Vol.

60-61% 100.0%

<56% <1%

56-57% <1%

57-58% <1%

Polymarket

$611,052 Vol.

<56%

$276,754 Vol.

No

56-57%

$10,355 Vol.

No

57-58%

$14,161 Vol.

No

58-59%

$148,635 Vol.

No

59-60%

$62,513 Vol.

No

60-61%

$80,080 Vol.

Yes

61-62%

$9,622 Vol.

No

>62%

$8,932 Vol.

No

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Official National Electoral Council (CNE) figures confirm voter turnout at 60.19% for Honduras' November 30, 2025, general election, with 3.93 million votes cast out of 6.52 million registered voters, anchoring trader consensus at full certainty for the 60-61% bracket. This marks a decline from 2021's 69% amid high abstention despite absolute voter gains, influenced by a polarized race between Nasry Asfura (National Party), Salvador Nasralla (Liberal Party), and Rixi Moncada (LIBRE). Technical glitches, site crashes, and a manual recount of select ballots fueled brief disputes, but OAS observers found no systemic fraud, paving Asfura's declaration as president on December 24, 2025, and January 27 inauguration. Only a successful late-stage court challenge to CNE data could shift odds, though institutional finality and observer validation render this improbable.

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Volume
$611,052
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Official National Electoral Council (CNE) figures confirm voter turnout at 60.19% for Honduras' November 30, 2025, general election, with 3.93 million votes cast out of 6.52 million registered voters, anchoring trader consensus at full certainty for the 60-61% bracket. This marks a decline from 2021's 69% amid high abstention despite absolute voter gains, influenced by a polarized race between Nasry Asfura (National Party), Salvador Nasralla (Liberal Party), and Rixi Moncada (LIBRE). Technical glitches, site crashes, and a manual recount of select ballots fueled brief disputes, but OAS observers found no systemic fraud, paving Asfura's declaration as president on December 24, 2025, and January 27 inauguration. Only a successful late-stage court challenge to CNE data could shift odds, though institutional finality and observer validation render this improbable.

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Volume
$611,052
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "60-61%" at 100%, followed by "<56%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)" has generated $611.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)" is "60-61%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<56%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.