England's 2026 local elections on May 7 will contest over 5,000 council seats across 136 authorities, testing Kemi Badenoch-led Conservatives defending roughly 1,100 seats in a highly fragmented field. Late March YouGov polling shows Reform UK ahead at 23%, Greens at 19%, Conservatives at 19%, and Labour at 18%, capturing widespread dissatisfaction with the Labour government amid economic pressures and scandals. Ward-level projections from PollCheck anticipate substantial Conservative net losses of around 1,000 seats, with Reform seizing control in eastern counties like Essex, Norfolk, and Suffolk from Leave strongholds, while Liberal Democrats target southern districts. Recent by-elections reflect this squeeze, with Reform gaining from Conservatives; finalized April candidate lists and turnout in battleground wards remain pivotal ahead of polling day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?
2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?
NEW
May 7, 2026
300+
84%
400+
33%
500+
59%
600+
52%
$509 Vol.
300+
$357 Vol.
84%
400+
$68 Vol.
33%
500+
$84 Vol.
59%
600+
$0 Vol.
52%
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Conservative Party if they are officially nominated by the Conservative Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Conservative Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.England's 2026 local elections on May 7 will contest over 5,000 council seats across 136 authorities, testing Kemi Badenoch-led Conservatives defending roughly 1,100 seats in a highly fragmented field. Late March YouGov polling shows Reform UK ahead at 23%, Greens at 19%, Conservatives at 19%, and Labour at 18%, capturing widespread dissatisfaction with the Labour government amid economic pressures and scandals. Ward-level projections from PollCheck anticipate substantial Conservative net losses of around 1,000 seats, with Reform seizing control in eastern counties like Essex, Norfolk, and Suffolk from Leave strongholds, while Liberal Democrats target southern districts. Recent by-elections reflect this squeeze, with Reform gaining from Conservatives; finalized April candidate lists and turnout in battleground wards remain pivotal ahead of polling day.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Conservative Party if they are officially nominated by the Conservative Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Conservative Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Conservative Party if they are officially nominated by the Conservative Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Conservative Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Volume
$509End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Conservative Party if they are officially nominated by the Conservative Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Conservative Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.England's 2026 local elections on May 7 will contest over 5,000 council seats across 136 authorities, testing Kemi Badenoch-led Conservatives defending roughly 1,100 seats in a highly fragmented field. Late March YouGov polling shows Reform UK ahead at 23%, Greens at 19%, Conservatives at 19%, and Labour at 18%, capturing widespread dissatisfaction with the Labour government amid economic pressures and scandals. Ward-level projections from PollCheck anticipate substantial Conservative net losses of around 1,000 seats, with Reform seizing control in eastern counties like Essex, Norfolk, and Suffolk from Leave strongholds, while Liberal Democrats target southern districts. Recent by-elections reflect this squeeze, with Reform gaining from Conservatives; finalized April candidate lists and turnout in battleground wards remain pivotal ahead of polling day.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Conservative Party if they are officially nominated by the Conservative Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Conservative Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Conservative Party if they are officially nominated by the Conservative Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Conservative Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Volume
$509End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...England's 2026 local elections on May 7 will contest over 5,000 council seats across 136 authorities, testing Kemi Badenoch-led Conservatives defending roughly 1,100 seats in a highly fragmented field. Late March YouGov polling shows Reform UK ahead at 23%, Greens at 19%, Conservatives at 19%, and Labour at 18%, capturing widespread dissatisfaction with the Labour government amid economic pressures and scandals. Ward-level projections from PollCheck anticipate substantial Conservative net losses of around 1,000 seats, with Reform seizing control in eastern counties like Essex, Norfolk, and Suffolk from Leave strongholds, while Liberal Democrats target southern districts. Recent by-elections reflect this squeeze, with Reform gaining from Conservatives; finalized April candidate lists and turnout in battleground wards remain pivotal ahead of polling day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
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Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
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Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
82%
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