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Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 89%

Moderate Party (M) 5.6%

Sweden Democrats (SD) 4.7%

Green Party (MP) <1%

Polymarket

$1,086,063 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 89%

Moderate Party (M) 5.6%

Sweden Democrats (SD) 4.7%

Green Party (MP) <1%

Polymarket

$1,086,063 Vol.

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? icon

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$32,092 Vol.

89%

Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? icon

Moderate Party (M)

$377,327 Vol.

6%

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? icon

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$509,486 Vol.

5%

Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? icon

Green Party (MP)

$93,267 Vol.

1%

Will the Left Party (V) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? icon

Left Party (V)

$14,933 Vol.

<1%

Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? icon

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$13,476 Vol.

<1%

Will the Centre Party (C) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? icon

Centre Party (C)

$16,497 Vol.

<1%

Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? icon

Christian Democrats (KD)

$14,419 Vol.

<1%

Will the Liberals (L) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? icon

Liberals (L)

$14,567 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) to secure the most seats in Sweden's September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, reflecting its sustained double-digit lead in recent polls at 32-33%—well ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at around 20% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%, per Kantar-Sifo (April 11), Verian (April 5), and Indikator (April 1). This positioning stems from the incumbent right-wing Tidö bloc's erosion, highlighted by Liberal Party turmoil after its March 13 "Sweden Promise" pact with SD triggered resignations and a narrow leadership survival for Simona Mohamsson on March 22, fragmenting potential coalitions. Seat projections grant S ~120 mandates versus SD's 75 and M's 64, though centre-left (S+V+C+MP) and right blocs hover near parity; economic pressures and immigration debates sustain S momentum amid stable polling trends over the past 30 days. Late scandals or shifts could narrow the gap before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,086,063
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) to secure the most seats in Sweden's September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, reflecting its sustained double-digit lead in recent polls at 32-33%—well ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at around 20% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%, per Kantar-Sifo (April 11), Verian (April 5), and Indikator (April 1). This positioning stems from the incumbent right-wing Tidö bloc's erosion, highlighted by Liberal Party turmoil after its March 13 "Sweden Promise" pact with SD triggered resignations and a narrow leadership survival for Simona Mohamsson on March 22, fragmenting potential coalitions. Seat projections grant S ~120 mandates versus SD's 75 and M's 64, though centre-left (S+V+C+MP) and right blocs hover near parity; economic pressures and immigration debates sustain S momentum amid stable polling trends over the past 30 days. Late scandals or shifts could narrow the gap before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,086,063
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)" at 89%, followed by "Moderate Party (M)" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner" is "Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Moderate Party (M)" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.