Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th congressional district by defeating incumbent Representative Daniel Goldman in the June 2026 primary with 66% of the vote. The district, encompassing progressive areas of Manhattan and Brooklyn, carries a strong Democratic lean that multiple forecasters rate as solid or safe for the party. Lander’s established record on the city council and as comptroller, combined with endorsements from local progressive leaders, has positioned him as the clear favorite heading into the November 3 general election. Traders price his victory at 98.1%, reflecting the district’s voting history and limited Republican infrastructure, while Jennifer Moore’s 0.1% share aligns with the structural barriers for the GOP nominee. Late developments such as unusually low turnout or unforeseen scandals remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.