Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District after defeating two-term incumbent Dan Goldman by more than 30 points in the June 2026 primary. The district, covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Moore, the uncontested Republican and Conservative Party nominee, faces structural disadvantages in a seat rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 98.4 percent for Lander reflects the absence of competitive opposition and the primary outcome’s confirmation of progressive strength in the area. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic shift in national conditions could theoretically alter the race, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited scope for such reversals before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-10 House Election Winner
NY-10 House Election Winner
$53,943 Vol.
$53,943 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Brad Lander (D)
98%
Jennifer Moore (R)
<1%
$53,943 Vol.
$53,943 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Brad Lander (D)
$16,768 Vol.
98%
Jennifer Moore (R)
$37,175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District after defeating two-term incumbent Dan Goldman by more than 30 points in the June 2026 primary. The district, covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Moore, the uncontested Republican and Conservative Party nominee, faces structural disadvantages in a seat rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 98.4 percent for Lander reflects the absence of competitive opposition and the primary outcome’s confirmation of progressive strength in the area. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic shift in national conditions could theoretically alter the race, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited scope for such reversals before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$53,943End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District after defeating two-term incumbent Dan Goldman by more than 30 points in the June 2026 primary. The district, covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Moore, the uncontested Republican and Conservative Party nominee, faces structural disadvantages in a seat rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 98.4 percent for Lander reflects the absence of competitive opposition and the primary outcome’s confirmation of progressive strength in the area. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic shift in national conditions could theoretically alter the race, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited scope for such reversals before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,943End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District after defeating two-term incumbent Dan Goldman by more than 30 points in the June 2026 primary. The district, covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Moore, the uncontested Republican and Conservative Party nominee, faces structural disadvantages in a seat rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 98.4 percent for Lander reflects the absence of competitive opposition and the primary outcome’s confirmation of progressive strength in the area. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic shift in national conditions could theoretically alter the race, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited scope for such reversals before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions