Incumbent Tom Suozzi holds a commanding position in the NY-03 House race due to his 2024 victory by roughly four points in the same matchup against Mike LiPetri and his decisive win in the June 2026 Democratic primary. The suburban Long Island and Queens district has shown a modest Democratic tilt in recent House contests, reinforced by Suozzi’s established local profile on issues such as costs, health care, and infrastructure. Republican efforts, including endorsements from national figures and nearly $8 million in recent attack advertising from a Trump-aligned super PAC, have not yet shifted the race into toss-up territory according to forecasting models. With the November 3 general election six weeks away, late developments such as turnout surges, national economic signals, or unforeseen campaign events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$26,567 Vol.
$26,567 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
8%
$26,567 Vol.
$26,567 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
$12,642 Vol.
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
$13,925 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tom Suozzi holds a commanding position in the NY-03 House race due to his 2024 victory by roughly four points in the same matchup against Mike LiPetri and his decisive win in the June 2026 Democratic primary. The suburban Long Island and Queens district has shown a modest Democratic tilt in recent House contests, reinforced by Suozzi’s established local profile on issues such as costs, health care, and infrastructure. Republican efforts, including endorsements from national figures and nearly $8 million in recent attack advertising from a Trump-aligned super PAC, have not yet shifted the race into toss-up territory according to forecasting models. With the November 3 general election six weeks away, late developments such as turnout surges, national economic signals, or unforeseen campaign events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$26,567End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tom Suozzi holds a commanding position in the NY-03 House race due to his 2024 victory by roughly four points in the same matchup against Mike LiPetri and his decisive win in the June 2026 Democratic primary. The suburban Long Island and Queens district has shown a modest Democratic tilt in recent House contests, reinforced by Suozzi’s established local profile on issues such as costs, health care, and infrastructure. Republican efforts, including endorsements from national figures and nearly $8 million in recent attack advertising from a Trump-aligned super PAC, have not yet shifted the race into toss-up territory according to forecasting models. With the November 3 general election six weeks away, late developments such as turnout surges, national economic signals, or unforeseen campaign events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,567End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Tom Suozzi holds a commanding position in the NY-03 House race due to his 2024 victory by roughly four points in the same matchup against Mike LiPetri and his decisive win in the June 2026 Democratic primary. The suburban Long Island and Queens district has shown a modest Democratic tilt in recent House contests, reinforced by Suozzi’s established local profile on issues such as costs, health care, and infrastructure. Republican efforts, including endorsements from national figures and nearly $8 million in recent attack advertising from a Trump-aligned super PAC, have not yet shifted the race into toss-up territory according to forecasting models. With the November 3 general election six weeks away, late developments such as turnout surges, national economic signals, or unforeseen campaign events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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