North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat under the congressional map redrawn in October 2025, which would have given Donald Trump a 14-point margin in 2024. Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces no primary opposition and holds a sizable campaign account, while Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. won his party’s March 2026 primary but confronts a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. No credible Democratic challenger or recent polling shift has emerged to narrow the gap, leaving trader consensus on a Republican victory at 84.5 percent. The November 3 general election outcome hinges on whether national conditions produce an unusually strong Democratic wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNC-03 House Election Winner
NC-03 House Election Winner
$18,757 ปริมาณ
$18,757 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
13%
$18,757 ปริมาณ
$18,757 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$14,105 ปริมาณ
85%
Democratic Party
$4,652 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat under the congressional map redrawn in October 2025, which would have given Donald Trump a 14-point margin in 2024. Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces no primary opposition and holds a sizable campaign account, while Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. won his party’s March 2026 primary but confronts a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. No credible Democratic challenger or recent polling shift has emerged to narrow the gap, leaving trader consensus on a Republican victory at 84.5 percent. The November 3 general election outcome hinges on whether national conditions produce an unusually strong Democratic wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,757วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat under the congressional map redrawn in October 2025, which would have given Donald Trump a 14-point margin in 2024. Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces no primary opposition and holds a sizable campaign account, while Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. won his party’s March 2026 primary but confronts a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. No credible Democratic challenger or recent polling shift has emerged to narrow the gap, leaving trader consensus on a Republican victory at 84.5 percent. The November 3 general election outcome hinges on whether national conditions produce an unusually strong Democratic wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,757วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat under the congressional map redrawn in October 2025, which would have given Donald Trump a 14-point margin in 2024. Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces no primary opposition and holds a sizable campaign account, while Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. won his party’s March 2026 primary but confronts a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. No credible Democratic challenger or recent polling shift has emerged to narrow the gap, leaving trader consensus on a Republican victory at 84.5 percent. The November 3 general election outcome hinges on whether national conditions produce an unusually strong Democratic wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย