Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million compared to Democratic nominee Chris Gallant’s roughly $500,000. LaLota, seeking a third term after prior victories in 2022 and 2024, faced no primary opposition, while Gallant, an Army National Guard veteran and air traffic controller, secured the Democratic nomination in June by defeating Lukas Ventouras. The district’s partisan baseline and LaLota’s incumbency advantages have shaped trader consensus around these probabilities, though the race remains subject to broader midterm dynamics and any late developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$45,628 Vol.
$45,628 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
83%
Chris Gallant (D)
17%
$45,628 Vol.
$45,628 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
$17,347 Vol.
83%
Chris Gallant (D)
$28,281 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million compared to Democratic nominee Chris Gallant’s roughly $500,000. LaLota, seeking a third term after prior victories in 2022 and 2024, faced no primary opposition, while Gallant, an Army National Guard veteran and air traffic controller, secured the Democratic nomination in June by defeating Lukas Ventouras. The district’s partisan baseline and LaLota’s incumbency advantages have shaped trader consensus around these probabilities, though the race remains subject to broader midterm dynamics and any late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$45,628End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million compared to Democratic nominee Chris Gallant’s roughly $500,000. LaLota, seeking a third term after prior victories in 2022 and 2024, faced no primary opposition, while Gallant, an Army National Guard veteran and air traffic controller, secured the Democratic nomination in June by defeating Lukas Ventouras. The district’s partisan baseline and LaLota’s incumbency advantages have shaped trader consensus around these probabilities, though the race remains subject to broader midterm dynamics and any late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,628End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, backed by the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million compared to Democratic nominee Chris Gallant’s roughly $500,000. LaLota, seeking a third term after prior victories in 2022 and 2024, faced no primary opposition, while Gallant, an Army National Guard veteran and air traffic controller, secured the Democratic nomination in June by defeating Lukas Ventouras. The district’s partisan baseline and LaLota’s incumbency advantages have shaped trader consensus around these probabilities, though the race remains subject to broader midterm dynamics and any late developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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