Nick LaLota’s position as the two-term Republican incumbent in New York’s 1st Congressional District underpins trader consensus, with the seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. LaLota’s substantial fundraising advantage, exceeding $3 million compared with challenger Chris Gallant’s roughly $500,000–$650,000, reinforces expectations of a comfortable general-election margin on November 3. Gallant, a National Guard Black Hawk pilot and former air traffic controller, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with about 63 percent of the vote but faces a district that has remained in Republican hands since 2014. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the race’s fundamentals since the primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$45,257 Vol.
$45,257 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
76%
Chris Gallant (D)
23%
$45,257 Vol.
$45,257 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
$17,113 Vol.
76%
Chris Gallant (D)
$28,144 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nick LaLota’s position as the two-term Republican incumbent in New York’s 1st Congressional District underpins trader consensus, with the seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. LaLota’s substantial fundraising advantage, exceeding $3 million compared with challenger Chris Gallant’s roughly $500,000–$650,000, reinforces expectations of a comfortable general-election margin on November 3. Gallant, a National Guard Black Hawk pilot and former air traffic controller, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with about 63 percent of the vote but faces a district that has remained in Republican hands since 2014. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the race’s fundamentals since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$45,257End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nick LaLota’s position as the two-term Republican incumbent in New York’s 1st Congressional District underpins trader consensus, with the seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. LaLota’s substantial fundraising advantage, exceeding $3 million compared with challenger Chris Gallant’s roughly $500,000–$650,000, reinforces expectations of a comfortable general-election margin on November 3. Gallant, a National Guard Black Hawk pilot and former air traffic controller, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with about 63 percent of the vote but faces a district that has remained in Republican hands since 2014. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the race’s fundamentals since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,257End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nick LaLota’s position as the two-term Republican incumbent in New York’s 1st Congressional District underpins trader consensus, with the seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. LaLota’s substantial fundraising advantage, exceeding $3 million compared with challenger Chris Gallant’s roughly $500,000–$650,000, reinforces expectations of a comfortable general-election margin on November 3. Gallant, a National Guard Black Hawk pilot and former air traffic controller, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with about 63 percent of the vote but faces a district that has remained in Republican hands since 2014. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the race’s fundamentals since the primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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