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Politics·Primaries

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

Greg Hull 57%

Duke Rodriguez 35%

Steve Lanier 2.0%

Brian Cillessen 1.4%

Polymarket

$790,523 Vol.

Greg Hull 57%

Duke Rodriguez 35%

Steve Lanier 2.0%

Brian Cillessen 1.4%

Polymarket

$790,523 Vol.

Greg Hull

$118,841 Vol.

57%

Duke Rodriguez

$7,529 Vol.

35%

Steve Lanier

$642,533 Vol.

2%

Brian Cillessen

$2,403 Vol.

1%

Susana Martinez

$4,053 Vol.

1%

Belinda Robertson

$4,614 Vol.

1%

Judith Nakamura

$5,915 Vol.

1%

Mark Murphy

$2,403 Vol.

1%

John Sanchez

$2,232 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Gregg Hull leads trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability to win New Mexico's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by his commanding 55% delegate vote at the March GOP pre-primary convention in Ruidoso, where he secured automatic ballot qualification and strong activist endorsement as Rio Rancho mayor. Duke Rodriguez follows at 34.5% after qualifying via petition signatures, bypassing the convention, and defeating two eligibility lawsuits in February. With the ballot finalized last week and no public polls available, markets reflect convention momentum and candidate experience, while minor contenders like Steve Lanier linger below 3% amid limited party support and recent withdrawals.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$790,523
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Gregg Hull leads trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability to win New Mexico's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by his commanding 55% delegate vote at the March GOP pre-primary convention in Ruidoso, where he secured automatic ballot qualification and strong activist endorsement as Rio Rancho mayor. Duke Rodriguez follows at 34.5% after qualifying via petition signatures, bypassing the convention, and defeating two eligibility lawsuits in February. With the ballot finalized last week and no public polls available, markets reflect convention momentum and candidate experience, while minor contenders like Steve Lanier linger below 3% amid limited party support and recent withdrawals.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$790,523
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Greg Hull" at 57%, followed by "Duke Rodriguez" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $790.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Greg Hull" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Duke Rodriguez" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.