Name: How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?
Start: 2025-04-09T07:06:41.095729Z
End: 2025-12-31T12:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between April 9 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

4.5%

4.6%

4.8%

5.0%

5.2%

5.5%

5.7%

6.0%

10-year Treasur

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes”  if the Treasury 10-year yield on on April 18, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).


10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?

This market will resolve to according to the Treasury 10-year yield on on April 11, 2025 according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

10-year Treasury yield on Friday?

This is a market on whether the yield of the United States 10-Year Treasury Bond reaches greater than 5.000% between December 28 and market close on June 30, 2025.

If the yield of the US 10-Year T-Bond is greater than 5.000% at any time between between December 28, 2024 and market close on June 30 2025, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be investing.com's reporting found at https://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/u.s.-10-year-bond-yield-historical-data. The resolution will be based on the values listed in the column labelled “High” in rows titled by dates within this market's timeframe.

US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between April 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in April?

This market will resolve to “Yes”  if the Treasury 10-year yield on April 25, 2025 is greater than 4.40% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).


10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?

This market will resolve to “Yes”  if the Treasury 10-year yield on May 2, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).


10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?

This market will resolve to “Yes”  if the Treasury 10-year yield on May 9, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).


This market will resolve to “Yes”  if the Treasury 10-year yield on May 16, 2025 is greater than 4.40% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).


This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on May 23, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

10-year Treasury yield >4.5% next Friday?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on June 6, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on June 13, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on July 18, 2025 is greater than 4.40% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on July 4, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on June 27, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on July 11, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on June 20, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on August 8, 2025 is greater than 4.40% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on July 25, 2025 is greater than 4.40% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on August 1, 2025 is greater than 4.40% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on August 29, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on September 12, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on August 15, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on August 22, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

4.6%
$1,115,136 Vol.
3%

4.8%
$704,541 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

5.0%
$708,930 Vol.
2%

5.2%
$1,025,111 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

5.5%
$216,072 Vol.
1%

5.7%
$518,663 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

6.0%
$434,778 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Market Context

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

Rules

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

Market Context

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

About

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

4.6%$1,115,136 Vol.3%buy Yes3.0¢buy No97.6¢

4.8%$704,541 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes2.2¢buy No98.4¢

5.0%$708,930 Vol.2%buy Yes1.8¢buy No98.5¢

5.2%$1,025,111 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes1.5¢buy No98.8¢

5.5%$216,072 Vol.1%buy Yes1.2¢buy No99.1¢

5.7%$518,663 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.8¢buy No99.4¢

6.0%$434,778 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.6¢buy No99.6¢

Market Context

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

Rules

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

Market Context

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

About

4.6%
$1,115,136 Vol.
3%

4.8%
$704,541 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

5.0%
$708,930 Vol.
2%

5.2%
$1,025,111 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

5.5%
$216,072 Vol.
1%

5.7%
$518,663 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

6.0%
$434,778 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%