No change 81.4%
25 bps increase 18.1%
50+ bps increase <1%
Decrease rates <1%
$271,130 Vol.
$271,130 Vol.
Mar 19, 2026
Decrease rates
$50,489 Vol.
<1%
Decrease rates
$50,489 Vol.
<1%
No change
$105,188 Vol.
81%
No change
$105,188 Vol.
81%
25 bps increase
$73,937 Vol.
18%
25 bps increase
$73,937 Vol.
18%
50+ bps increase
$41,517 Vol.
<1%
50+ bps increase
$41,517 Vol.
<1%
Rules
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for March is scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's March 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for March is scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's March 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's March 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Created At: Dec 22, 2025, 12:41 PM ET
Volume
$271,130End Date
Mar 19, 2026Created At
Dec 22, 2025, 12:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...No change 81.4%
25 bps increase 18.1%
50+ bps increase <1%
Decrease rates <1%
$271,130 Vol.
$271,130 Vol.
Mar 19, 2026
Decrease rates
$50,489 Vol.
<1%
No change
$105,188 Vol.
81%
25 bps increase
$73,937 Vol.
18%
50+ bps increase
$41,517 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$271,130End Date
Mar 19, 2026Created At
Dec 22, 2025, 12:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.