Market icon

Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

$1,885,810 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,885,810
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 4, 2025, 3:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

$1,885,810 Vol.

40%+

$463,480 Vol.

4%

50%+

$478,750 Vol.

1%

60%+

$414,162 Vol.

1%

70%+

$529,418 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$1,885,810
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 4, 2025, 3:29 PM ET

Beware of external links.