Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces no primary opposition ahead of Georgia’s May 19 Republican primary in the 2nd congressional district, a seat he has held since 1992. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and receives Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Bishop secured 56.3 percent of the vote in 2024, while the sole Republican entrant, businessman Matt Day, has yet to generate measurable momentum. These factors have produced the current trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee an 83.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election. No late developments have altered the structural advantages of incumbency and district leanings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGA-02 House Election Winner
GA-02 House Election Winner
$13,211 Vol.
$13,211 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
84%
Republican Party
11%
$13,211 Vol.
$13,211 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,443 Vol.
84%
Republican Party
$5,768 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces no primary opposition ahead of Georgia’s May 19 Republican primary in the 2nd congressional district, a seat he has held since 1992. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and receives Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Bishop secured 56.3 percent of the vote in 2024, while the sole Republican entrant, businessman Matt Day, has yet to generate measurable momentum. These factors have produced the current trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee an 83.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election. No late developments have altered the structural advantages of incumbency and district leanings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$13,211End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces no primary opposition ahead of Georgia’s May 19 Republican primary in the 2nd congressional district, a seat he has held since 1992. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and receives Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Bishop secured 56.3 percent of the vote in 2024, while the sole Republican entrant, businessman Matt Day, has yet to generate measurable momentum. These factors have produced the current trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee an 83.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election. No late developments have altered the structural advantages of incumbency and district leanings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,211End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces no primary opposition ahead of Georgia’s May 19 Republican primary in the 2nd congressional district, a seat he has held since 1992. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and receives Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Bishop secured 56.3 percent of the vote in 2024, while the sole Republican entrant, businessman Matt Day, has yet to generate measurable momentum. These factors have produced the current trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee an 83.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election. No late developments have altered the structural advantages of incumbency and district leanings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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