Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the Kentucky 2nd congressional district race stems from the area's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in a 2024 presidential margin exceeding R+41 and consistent past results. As the long-serving incumbent, Guthrie secured his party's nomination with over 85 percent in the May primary, while Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield prevailed in a fragmented contest with limited resources and under $8,000 raised. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's voting patterns and Guthrie's established campaign infrastructure ahead of the November 3 general election. An independent candidate also appears on the ballot, though with negligible impact expected. Late developments such as major scandals or health events could theoretically alter trajectories, yet current evidence shows no such factors shifting the consensus reflected in trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKY-02 House Election Winner
KY-02 House Election Winner
$14,018 Vol.
$14,018 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Brett Guthrie (R)
95%
Megan Wingfield (D)
5%
$14,018 Vol.
$14,018 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Brett Guthrie (R)
$6,347 Vol.
95%
Megan Wingfield (D)
$7,671 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the Kentucky 2nd congressional district race stems from the area's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in a 2024 presidential margin exceeding R+41 and consistent past results. As the long-serving incumbent, Guthrie secured his party's nomination with over 85 percent in the May primary, while Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield prevailed in a fragmented contest with limited resources and under $8,000 raised. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's voting patterns and Guthrie's established campaign infrastructure ahead of the November 3 general election. An independent candidate also appears on the ballot, though with negligible impact expected. Late developments such as major scandals or health events could theoretically alter trajectories, yet current evidence shows no such factors shifting the consensus reflected in trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$14,018End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the Kentucky 2nd congressional district race stems from the area's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in a 2024 presidential margin exceeding R+41 and consistent past results. As the long-serving incumbent, Guthrie secured his party's nomination with over 85 percent in the May primary, while Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield prevailed in a fragmented contest with limited resources and under $8,000 raised. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's voting patterns and Guthrie's established campaign infrastructure ahead of the November 3 general election. An independent candidate also appears on the ballot, though with negligible impact expected. Late developments such as major scandals or health events could theoretically alter trajectories, yet current evidence shows no such factors shifting the consensus reflected in trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,018End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the Kentucky 2nd congressional district race stems from the area's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in a 2024 presidential margin exceeding R+41 and consistent past results. As the long-serving incumbent, Guthrie secured his party's nomination with over 85 percent in the May primary, while Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield prevailed in a fragmented contest with limited resources and under $8,000 raised. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's voting patterns and Guthrie's established campaign infrastructure ahead of the November 3 general election. An independent candidate also appears on the ballot, though with negligible impact expected. Late developments such as major scandals or health events could theoretically alter trajectories, yet current evidence shows no such factors shifting the consensus reflected in trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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