The Illinois 8th Congressional District’s Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5 percent. The seat became open after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi opted to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, prompting March 2026 primaries in which former Representative Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination and Jennifer Davis advanced for Republicans. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the combination of an established Democratic candidate in a suburban district anchored in Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties has produced limited movement in the market. A late national swing, unforeseen candidate developments, or unusually high Republican turnout would be required to alter the current positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-08 House Election Winner
IL-08 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$3,288 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$4,329 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 8th Congressional District’s Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5 percent. The seat became open after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi opted to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, prompting March 2026 primaries in which former Representative Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination and Jennifer Davis advanced for Republicans. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the combination of an established Democratic candidate in a suburban district anchored in Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties has produced limited movement in the market. A late national swing, unforeseen candidate developments, or unusually high Republican turnout would be required to alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$7,617Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 8th Congressional District’s Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5 percent. The seat became open after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi opted to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, prompting March 2026 primaries in which former Representative Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination and Jennifer Davis advanced for Republicans. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the combination of an established Democratic candidate in a suburban district anchored in Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties has produced limited movement in the market. A late national swing, unforeseen candidate developments, or unusually high Republican turnout would be required to alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,617Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 8th Congressional District’s Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5 percent. The seat became open after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi opted to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, prompting March 2026 primaries in which former Representative Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination and Jennifer Davis advanced for Republicans. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the combination of an established Democratic candidate in a suburban district anchored in Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties has produced limited movement in the market. A late national swing, unforeseen candidate developments, or unusually high Republican turnout would be required to alter the current positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions