The Illinois 9th Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, but the March 17 Democratic primary resolved in favor of Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss, consolidating party support in a district where Republicans have not mounted a serious challenge in decades. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of major polling shifts or external disruptions reinforce the wide margin. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain narrow in scope, such as an unforeseen national Republican surge or a significant issue affecting the Democratic nominee.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$20,178 Обс.
$20,178 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$20,178 Обс.
$20,178 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,679 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$6,499 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, but the March 17 Democratic primary resolved in favor of Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss, consolidating party support in a district where Republicans have not mounted a serious challenge in decades. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of major polling shifts or external disruptions reinforce the wide margin. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain narrow in scope, such as an unforeseen national Republican surge or a significant issue affecting the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$20,178Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, but the March 17 Democratic primary resolved in favor of Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss, consolidating party support in a district where Republicans have not mounted a serious challenge in decades. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of major polling shifts or external disruptions reinforce the wide margin. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain narrow in scope, such as an unforeseen national Republican surge or a significant issue affecting the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$20,178Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 9th Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, but the March 17 Democratic primary resolved in favor of Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss, consolidating party support in a district where Republicans have not mounted a serious challenge in decades. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of major polling shifts or external disruptions reinforce the wide margin. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain narrow in scope, such as an unforeseen national Republican surge or a significant issue affecting the Democratic nominee.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання