The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey’s 12th Congressional District, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins the market’s 91.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman’s retirement has produced a crowded June 2 primary with 13 candidates, yet ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic regardless of the nominee. The lone Republican entrant faces structural barriers in a district that has delivered double-digit Democratic margins. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or a sharp national partisan swing could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNJ-12 House Election Winner
NJ-12 House Election Winner
$12,763 Vol.
$12,763 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
$12,763 Vol.
$12,763 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,645 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$2,117 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey’s 12th Congressional District, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins the market’s 91.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman’s retirement has produced a crowded June 2 primary with 13 candidates, yet ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic regardless of the nominee. The lone Republican entrant faces structural barriers in a district that has delivered double-digit Democratic margins. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or a sharp national partisan swing could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$12,763End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey’s 12th Congressional District, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins the market’s 91.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman’s retirement has produced a crowded June 2 primary with 13 candidates, yet ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic regardless of the nominee. The lone Republican entrant faces structural barriers in a district that has delivered double-digit Democratic margins. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or a sharp national partisan swing could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,763End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey’s 12th Congressional District, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins the market’s 91.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman’s retirement has produced a crowded June 2 primary with 13 candidates, yet ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic regardless of the nominee. The lone Republican entrant faces structural barriers in a district that has delivered double-digit Democratic margins. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or a sharp national partisan swing could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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