Trader sentiment on Shenzhen's highest temperature March 27 clusters tightly around 26-28°C, driven by ensemble weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and China Meteorological Administration projecting a peak near 27°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. Historical data shows late-March highs averaging 26.5°C, with urban heat island effects in Shenzhen pushing occasional spikes to 28-29°C, but recent cooling from a passing weak front caps upside risk. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in sea breeze strength and diel temperature cycles, differentiating 27°C (27% implied odds) as trader consensus while low probabilities for extremes align with climatological baselines and low volatility in spring patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on March 27?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 27?
27°C 28%
26°C 20%
28°C 20%
30°C 18%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
16%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
20%
27°C
28%
28°C
20%
29°C
17%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 28%
26°C 20%
28°C 20%
30°C 18%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
16%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
20%
27°C
28%
28°C
20%
29°C
17%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Shenzhen's highest temperature March 27 clusters tightly around 26-28°C, driven by ensemble weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and China Meteorological Administration projecting a peak near 27°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. Historical data shows late-March highs averaging 26.5°C, with urban heat island effects in Shenzhen pushing occasional spikes to 28-29°C, but recent cooling from a passing weak front caps upside risk. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in sea breeze strength and diel temperature cycles, differentiating 27°C (27% implied odds) as trader consensus while low probabilities for extremes align with climatological baselines and low volatility in spring patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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