Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4-6°C for Munich's March 27 high, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting a cold northerly airflow and widespread low cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Official DWD outlooks align, forecasting maxima of 3-7°C amid an Arctic air intrusion displacing milder spring patterns— a stark departure from the 11°C March climatological average. Differentiating factors include ECMWF's slight warm bias (favoring 5-6°C) versus GFS cooler runs (4°C core), with timing of frontal passages introducing 2°C spread; low odds for extremes reflect suppressed volatility in verified soundings. Key: midday model refresh could sharpen odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on March 27?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 27?
5°C 24%
4°C 22%
6°C 19%
7°C 18%
0°C or below
2%
1°C
15%
2°C
15%
3°C
17%
4°C
22%
5°C
24%
6°C
19%
7°C
18%
8°C
18%
9°C
16%
10°C or higher
3%
5°C 24%
4°C 22%
6°C 19%
7°C 18%
0°C or below
2%
1°C
15%
2°C
15%
3°C
17%
4°C
22%
5°C
24%
6°C
19%
7°C
18%
8°C
18%
9°C
16%
10°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4-6°C for Munich's March 27 high, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting a cold northerly airflow and widespread low cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Official DWD outlooks align, forecasting maxima of 3-7°C amid an Arctic air intrusion displacing milder spring patterns— a stark departure from the 11°C March climatological average. Differentiating factors include ECMWF's slight warm bias (favoring 5-6°C) versus GFS cooler runs (4°C core), with timing of frontal passages introducing 2°C spread; low odds for extremes reflect suppressed volatility in verified soundings. Key: midday model refresh could sharpen odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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