Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C high in Tel Aviv on March 23 at 51% implied probability, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on this mark amid a dominant high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Historical March data from the Israel Meteorological Service shows average highs of 19.5–20.5°C, with sea breezes typically capping peaks; recent 00Z runs refined earlier 21°C leans downward due to enhanced northerly flow introducing cooler air masses. Lower odds for 19°C or 21°C (14–25%) reflect model spread, while extremes like 24°C+ (under 3%) align with rare heat spikes in this transitional spring season. Final IMS advisory expected within 24 hours could sway positions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 23?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 23?
20°C 50%
21°C 30%
19°C 17%
22°C 8%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
17%
20°C
50%
21°C
24%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
3%
20°C 50%
21°C 30%
19°C 17%
22°C 8%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
17%
20°C
50%
21°C
24%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C high in Tel Aviv on March 23 at 51% implied probability, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on this mark amid a dominant high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Historical March data from the Israel Meteorological Service shows average highs of 19.5–20.5°C, with sea breezes typically capping peaks; recent 00Z runs refined earlier 21°C leans downward due to enhanced northerly flow introducing cooler air masses. Lower odds for 19°C or 21°C (14–25%) reflect model spread, while extremes like 24°C+ (under 3%) align with rare heat spikes in this transitional spring season. Final IMS advisory expected within 24 hours could sway positions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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