Trader sentiment for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 25 remains tightly clustered around 72-77°F, driven primarily by the National Weather Service's latest forecast showing a high near 75°F amid partial marine layer dissipation, giving 74-75°F a 22% edge over nearby bins. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge slightly—GFS capping at 73°F due to persistent coastal stratus and cool northerly winds strengthening the inversion layer, while ECMWF hints at 76-77°F with earlier burn-off under a weak upper-level ridge. Historical March highs at LAX average 68°F, but this week's dry Santa Ana-like flow has pushed recent days warmer, heightening uncertainty as cloud cover timing will differentiate outcomes; monitor afternoon updates for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 25?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 25?
84-85°F 25%
76-77°F 21%
72-73°F 18%
74-75°F 17%
69°F or below
14%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
14%
88°F or higher
8%
84-85°F 25%
76-77°F 21%
72-73°F 18%
74-75°F 17%
69°F or below
14%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
14%
88°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 25 remains tightly clustered around 72-77°F, driven primarily by the National Weather Service's latest forecast showing a high near 75°F amid partial marine layer dissipation, giving 74-75°F a 22% edge over nearby bins. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge slightly—GFS capping at 73°F due to persistent coastal stratus and cool northerly winds strengthening the inversion layer, while ECMWF hints at 76-77°F with earlier burn-off under a weak upper-level ridge. Historical March highs at LAX average 68°F, but this week's dry Santa Ana-like flow has pushed recent days warmer, heightening uncertainty as cloud cover timing will differentiate outcomes; monitor afternoon updates for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы