Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18°C (28.5%), 19°C (26%), and 17°C (23.5%) for Wellington's highest temperature on March 22, driven primarily by MetService's latest forecast indicating a daytime max near 18°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This reflects a cool anomaly from March norms of 19-20°C, influenced by a lingering low-pressure trough suppressing highs after recent frontal passages. Ensemble models like ECMWF show spread—some runs favoring 19°C with clearer skies, others 17°C if cloudier conditions persist—amplifying uncertainty and keeping odds neck-and-neck. Historical data underscores variability, with southerly shifts often trimming peaks by 1-2°C, tilting traders toward conservative bets amid tomorrow's 6 a.m. update.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 22 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 22 марта?
18°C 28%
19°C 24%
20°C 20%
17°C 19%
12°C или ниже
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
11%
16°C
10%
17°C
22%
18°C
28%
19°C
27%
20°C
20%
21°C
17%
22°C или выше
4%
18°C 28%
19°C 24%
20°C 20%
17°C 19%
12°C или ниже
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
11%
16°C
10%
17°C
22%
18°C
28%
19°C
27%
20°C
20%
21°C
17%
22°C или выше
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18°C (28.5%), 19°C (26%), and 17°C (23.5%) for Wellington's highest temperature on March 22, driven primarily by MetService's latest forecast indicating a daytime max near 18°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This reflects a cool anomaly from March norms of 19-20°C, influenced by a lingering low-pressure trough suppressing highs after recent frontal passages. Ensemble models like ECMWF show spread—some runs favoring 19°C with clearer skies, others 17°C if cloudier conditions persist—amplifying uncertainty and keeping odds neck-and-neck. Historical data underscores variability, with southerly shifts often trimming peaks by 1-2°C, tilting traders toward conservative bets amid tomorrow's 6 a.m. update.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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