Trader sentiment on Ankara's highest temperature March 22 tilts toward cooler outcomes, with 6°C or below leading at 25% implied probability amid forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting daytime highs of 5-9°C under a persistent northerly airflow bringing chilly continental air masses. Recent model runs show tightening consensus around 8-10°C as primary contenders (17-18% each), differentiated by boundary layer mixing and cloud cover variability—thicker stratus could suppress peaks below 8°C, while transient clears might push to 11-12°C. Historical March data averages 12°C highs, but this week's cold anomaly, verified by Turkish MGM observations, favors sub-10°C resolutions, with updates expected from 00Z runs influencing final odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on March 22?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 22?
11°C 30%
12°C 24%
13°C 21%
10°C 19%
6°C or below
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
4%
9°C
5%
10°C
19%
11°C
30%
12°C
24%
13°C
21%
14°C
4%
15°C
9%
16°C or higher
4%
11°C 30%
12°C 24%
13°C 21%
10°C 19%
6°C or below
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
4%
9°C
5%
10°C
19%
11°C
30%
12°C
24%
13°C
21%
14°C
4%
15°C
9%
16°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Ankara's highest temperature March 22 tilts toward cooler outcomes, with 6°C or below leading at 25% implied probability amid forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting daytime highs of 5-9°C under a persistent northerly airflow bringing chilly continental air masses. Recent model runs show tightening consensus around 8-10°C as primary contenders (17-18% each), differentiated by boundary layer mixing and cloud cover variability—thicker stratus could suppress peaks below 8°C, while transient clears might push to 11-12°C. Historical March data averages 12°C highs, but this week's cold anomaly, verified by Turkish MGM observations, favors sub-10°C resolutions, with updates expected from 00Z runs influencing final odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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