Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 26°C (27% implied probability) as the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 22, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a daytime peak near 25-27°C amid mild southerly winds moderating earlier heat. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 24-26°C, with slight divergences from variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects amplifying highs by 1-2°C. Historical March data indicates average maxima of 26°C but high variability (±3°C), while recent cooler nights reduce low-end risks below 23°C (18%). Upcoming SMN updates at 1200 UTC could shift odds if sea breeze strengthens.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 22?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 22?
25°C 21%
26°C 20%
27°C 18%
23°C 17%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
16%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
18%
28°C
16%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
7%
25°C 21%
26°C 20%
27°C 18%
23°C 17%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
16%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
18%
28°C
16%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 26°C (27% implied probability) as the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 22, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a daytime peak near 25-27°C amid mild southerly winds moderating earlier heat. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 24-26°C, with slight divergences from variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects amplifying highs by 1-2°C. Historical March data indicates average maxima of 26°C but high variability (±3°C), while recent cooler nights reduce low-end risks below 23°C (18%). Upcoming SMN updates at 1200 UTC could shift odds if sea breeze strengthens.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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